SC Villa vs Mbarara City: match statistics
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SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SC Villa play Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 22 October 2026.
Current form
SC Villa: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mbarara City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
SC Villa scores 2.33 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.40 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SC Villa 50%, Mbarara City 20%. Over 2.5: SC Villa 33%, Mbarara City 20%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Mbarara City has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.38. SC Villa: 7.8 shots per match, Mbarara City: 11.0.
Match halves
SC Villa: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 1.00. Mbarara City: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
SC Villa: 0-15 (5 goals). Mbarara City: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SC Villa | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.74 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SC Villa is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - SC Villa · 1 pts / match - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SC Villa is 483% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - SC Villa · 0.4 goals / match - Mbarara City
SC Villa is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - SC Villa · 0.6 goals / match - Mbarara City
SC Villa scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Mbarara City scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SC Villa
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SC Villa is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.67 pts / match - SC Villa · 1.2 pts / match - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 67%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SC Villa
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| SC Villa | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.14 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 36% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 58% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 68% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): SC Villa 2 - 0 - 0 Mbarara City. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do SC Villa and Mbarara City play?
SC Villa face Mbarara City on 22 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Villa and Mbarara City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches SC Villa won 2, Mbarara City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
SC Villa score 2.33 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of SC Villa's matches and 20% of Mbarara City's.
What form are SC Villa and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games SC Villa have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.