Seoul E-Land vs Ansan Greeners: match statistics

Seoul E-Land sit 2nd, while Ansan Greeners are only 15th, with the hosts’ overall season record standing at 11 wins and 5 defeats compared to the visitors’ 5 wins and 11 losses. At home, Seoul E-Land average 2.11 goals per match and have failed to score in none of their games, whereas Ansan average just one goal away from home and have been held scoreless in 38% of their away appearances. The hosts’ superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average xG is 1.62, while Ansan generate 1.02 xG away from home and allow opponents as much as 2.07 xG. Seoul average 13 shots and 5.67 shots on target per home match, clearly more than Ansan’s 7.63 shots and 3.5 shots on target away from home. Although the hosts have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, the visitors have scored only 4 during that period, making a Seoul E-Land win the most likely outcome.

Seoul E-Land have recorded BTTS in 83% of their matches this season and in 80% of their last five games, while also failing to keep a single clean sheet. The hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, giving Ansan a realistic route to scoring despite their lower average of 1.0 goal per game. Ansan’s defence also favours opposition goals: they allow an average of 1.63 goals, while their average xG against is as high as 2.07. At the same time, Seoul E-Land have scored 2.0 goals per game in their last five appearances. The main risk to BTTS - Yes is Ansan’s weaker attacking output, having scored only 0.8 goals in their last five matches and recorded BTTS in 40% of them. However, the hosts’ highly vulnerable defence slightly tilts the prediction towards a Goal/Goal scenario.

Seoul E-Land concede an average of 2.00 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets, which significantly increases Ansan Greeners’ scoring potential. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.23 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 2.07 xG, so Seoul E-Land should have solid conditions to score at least once. In their last five matches, the hosts scored 10 goals and conceded 10, while Ansan also allowed 10 goals over the same period. The 1.5 line was exceeded in 92% of Seoul’s matches and 75% of Ansan’s, providing a considerably stronger signal than the more evenly balanced 2.5 line. The projected total of 2.70 goals indicates that Over 1.5 is the safest choice.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Seoul E-Land win after the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five games, while Ansan were trailing at half-time in as many as 80% of them. The opening phase should be relatively even: Seoul have averaged 0.4 goals before the break recently, compared with just 0.2 for Ansan. After half-time, the hosts clearly step up, scoring an average of 1.6 goals across their last five matches, compared with 0.6 for Ansan. Seoul’s advantage is also supported by their current form, with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five games, while the visitors have won just once. Ansan’s defence allows opponents an average of 2.07 xG, which, combined with Seoul’s 1.23 xG created, increases the hosts’ chances of deciding the match after the break.