Simba vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Simba vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Simba play Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 23 October 2026.
Current form
Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Mbeya City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Simba scores 2.38 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Simba 50%, Mbeya City 29%. Over 2.5: Simba 50%, Mbeya City 29%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.35. Simba: 9.9 shots per match, Mbeya City: 7.6.
Match halves
Simba: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Mbeya City: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Simba: 61-75 (8 goals). Mbeya City: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Simba is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Simba · 1.4 pts / match - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 138% better for: goals scored per match.
2.38 goals / match - Simba · 1 goals / match - Mbeya City
Simba is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Simba · 1 goals / match - Mbeya City
Simba scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Mbeya City scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Simba
Over / Under - Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Simba · 1 pts / match - Mbeya City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Simba
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Simba 2 - 0 - 0 Mbeya City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Simba and Mbeya City play?
Simba face Mbeya City on 23 October 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Mbeya City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Simba won 2, Mbeya City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Mbeya City?
Simba score 2.38 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 1.00. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Simba's matches and 29% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Simba and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mbeya City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Mbeya City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Simba vs Mbeya City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.