Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas: match statistics
Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Covilhã played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal José dos Santos Pinto. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sporting Covilhã: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Caldas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Covilhã scores 0.71 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Caldas scores 1.29 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Covilhã 29%, Caldas 43%. Over 2.5: Sporting Covilhã 29%, Caldas 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Caldas has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.01. Sporting Covilhã: 7.0 shots per match, Caldas: 8.3.
Match halves
Sporting Covilhã: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57. Caldas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Sporting Covilhã: 76-90+ (2 goals). Caldas: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw looks the most likely outcome, as Sporting Covilhã have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and scored just 3 goals during that period. At home, the hosts average 0.67 goals per match and have failed to score in 67% of their games, making it difficult to back them as clear favourites. They do, however, have the edge in chance quality: their home xG is 1.32 compared with Caldas’ away xG of 1.12, while they concede an average of 1 goal per match against 1.67 for the visitors. Caldas have won 2 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals in that spell, but they have also conceded as many as 10, and have lost 2 of their 3 away games. These figures point to a closely contested match, in which the hosts’ poor finishing could cancel out their defensive advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 50% of Sporting Covilhã’s home matches and 33% of Caldas’ away matches, so the results to date do not point to a clear likelihood of both teams scoring. The hosts have averaged just 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, with an xG of 0.85, increasing the risk that they will fail to find the net this time. Caldas, meanwhile, average 0.67 goals away from home and have failed to score in 33% of those matches. The main argument against BTTS - No is the visitors’ recent attacking form, averaging 1.6 goals across 5 matches, as well as the 2.0 goals Caldas have conceded over that period, which gives the hosts a chance to score. Despite these signs, the weaker scoring records of both sides in the relevant match conditions suggest that at least one team will be held scoreless.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: the projected total of 2.40 goals gives this selection an estimated 78% probability. Caldas average 0.67 goals away from home and have not scored more than once in any of the away matches considered. Sporting Covilhã average 1.75 goals at home, but have scored just 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches, weakening the case for a high-scoring game. In addition, 67% of Caldas' away matches finished Under 3.5 goals, compared with 50% of the hosts' matches, making this line a safer margin than Under 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Sporting Covilhã went into the break level in each of its last five matches, while Caldas did so in two of five. In those games, the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals before half-time, but conceded equally few, which points to another evenly matched opening. A draw after 90 minutes is also well supported, as Sporting drew four of its last five matches, although it is worth noting that Caldas recorded only one draw over the same period. The lack of a clear edge in the quality of chances created also supports the cautious X/X pick: average xG stands at 1.16 for the hosts and 1.12 for the visitors. A Sporting win remains a significant alternative, as they average 1.75 goals at home compared with Caldas's 0.67 away, but Sporting's five-match winless run weakens that scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Covilhã | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caldas is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã · 1.4 pts / match - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã · 1.29 goals / match - Caldas
Sporting Covilhã is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã · 1.71 goals / match - Caldas
Sporting Covilhã scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Caldas scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Sporting Covilhã keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Covilhã
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caldas is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã · 1.14 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Covilhã - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Covilhã
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Covilhã | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 14% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sporting Covilhã 2 - 1 - 1 Caldas. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Sporting Covilhã 0:1 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Covilhã and Caldas?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting Covilhã won 2, Caldas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilhã score 0.71 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.29. The Liga 3 average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Sporting Covilhã's matches and 43% of Caldas's.
What form are Sporting Covilhã and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Covilhã have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.