Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Luqueño played Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueño: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.09 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.32 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 60%, Cerro Porteño 44%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 60%, Cerro Porteño 38%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.29. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.7 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 13.7.
Match halves
Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.51. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (9 goals). Cerro Porteño: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-4. Average goals 1.86, BTTS 29%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro Porteño have the stronger season record: they have won 16 matches and conceded 33 goals, while Sportivo Luqueño have recorded 9 wins and conceded 57. In their last five matches, the visitors picked up 7 points compared with 4 for the hosts, further tipping the balance in their favour. Sportivo lose 65% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.71 goals per game, although Cerro's away record is far from dominant, with 1.38 goals per match and a 44% loss rate. The quality of chances created is similar, with the visitors posting an xG of 1.45 against 1.41 for the hosts, but Cerro are more clinical in front of goal, converting 11% of their shots compared with 9%. Their defensive edge and stronger season record point to an away win, though caution is warranted given their inconsistent performances on the road.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for at least one team failing to score is Sportivo Luqueño’s home record: they keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches, while both teams score in only 28%. Cerro Porteño do have a 63% BTTS rate away from home and average 1.38 goals, but the hosts concede just 0.61 goals per home match. Sportivo average 1.28 goals at home, while Cerro concede 1.38 away, so a goal from the hosts remains a realistic possibility. However, over their last 5 matches, the teams averaged only 0.8 and 1.0 goals respectively, which makes the scenario of both sides scoring less certain. Therefore, I’m backing BTTS - No, although Cerro’s away BTTS rate means the edge on this pick is narrow.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 100% of Sportivo Luqueño’s home matches and 69% of Cerro Porteño’s away matches. The hosts concede an average of just 0.61 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches, limiting the visitors’ scoring potential. On the other hand, Cerro concede 1.38 goals per away match, so a goal for the hosts is realistic, but it does not necessarily point to a high-scoring game. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in just 40% of their last five matches, while the projected total of 2.35 goals further supports Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is likely: Sportivo Luqueño were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Cerro Porteño were level in 63% of matches in the seasonal data considered. The hosts have not led at the break in any of their last 5 appearances and scored an average of just 0.2 first-half goals over that period, so an early lead is not the strongest indication. Seasonal results favor a Sportivo win after the break: they won 56% of their matches, while Cerro lost 44%. The visitors concede an average of 0.88 goals in second halves, compared with 0.33 conceded by the hosts, increasing the likelihood that the match will be decided after the break. Sportivo’s weaker recent form, including 3 defeats in 5 matches, limits confidence in the pick, but overall the data point most strongly to X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Luqueño | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Porteño is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.4 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.32 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 0.97 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sportivo Luqueño
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.59 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Luqueño
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Luqueño | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 27% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Sportivo Luqueño 0 - 3 - 4 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 1.86, both teams scored in 29% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 0:3 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 0, Cerro Porteño won 4 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Luqueño score 1.09 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.32. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 44% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño?
The statistical background for Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.