St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Pauli played Wolfsburg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Millerntor-Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
St. Pauli: 0-3-1, 0.75 points/match. Wolfsburg: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Pauli scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Pauli 100%, Wolfsburg 50%. Over 2.5: St. Pauli 75%, Wolfsburg 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Wolfsburg has higher xG: 2.19 vs 1.78. St. Pauli: 15.0 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 20.8.
Match halves
St. Pauli: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
St. Pauli: 31-45+ (2 goals). Wolfsburg: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 3.56 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wolfsburg remain unbeaten in the league, with a record of 2 wins and 2 draws, while St. Pauli have failed to win any of their four matches. The visitors have looked particularly strong away from home: they have won both games, averaging 3 goals and 9 shots on target per match, compared with St. Pauli’s 1 goal and 6.5 shots on target at home. Wolfsburg’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created, with their away xG standing at 2.43 versus 2.20 for the hosts, alongside a significantly higher conversion rate: 13% compared with 5%. St. Pauli concede an average of 1.5 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet, which could prove problematic against a side that has scored 13 goals in its last five matches. The hosts average 59% possession, but so far this has translated into 0 wins and a negative goal difference of -1 in home fixtures.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is reinforced by their current form: St. Pauli recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Wolfsburg did so in 60%. During this period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match, identical to the visitors’ figure, which clearly increases the likelihood of both sides allowing the opposition to score. Wolfsburg possess very strong attacking potential, averaging 2.6 goals and an xG of 2.78 across their last five matches, while St. Pauli generated an xG of 1.61. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match of the season, while both teams have recorded BTTS in 50% of their matches across the competition. The league also favors open games, with BTTS landing in 61% of matches and an average of 3.64 goals, making a scenario in which both teams score the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to high attacking activity, with St. Pauli averaging 1.95 xG and Wolfsburg as much as 2.43. Wolfsburg have scored an average of 2.6 goals and generated 2.78 xG across their last 5 matches, while St. Pauli have conceded 1.8 goals per game over the same period. The hosts should also create chances, as Wolfsburg have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, or 1.8 per game, while St. Pauli have averaged 1.61 xG. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last five appearances, while the league-wide average is a very high 3.64 goals per match. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected 3.70 goals and the attacking numbers of both sides clearly reduce the risk of a match ending with no more than one goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Wolfsburg are showing clearly superior form: over their last five matches, they averaged 2.6 goals and 1.8 points, whereas St. Pauli scored 1.2 goals and collected only 0.6 points. The visitors are also creating more chances, as reflected by their xG of 2.43 compared with 1.95, as well as an average of 9 shots on target versus 6 for the hosts. Wolfsburg led at the break in 40% of their recent matches, while St. Pauli were trailing at half-time in 40%, making a Wolfsburg lead at the break a realistic scenario. After half-time, Wolfsburg won 60% of their recent second halves, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 60% of cases, whereas the hosts conceded 1.2 goals. The strongest HT/FT option is therefore Wolfsburg leading at half-time and securing the victory after the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wolfsburg is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / match - St. Pauli · 2 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - St. Pauli · 2.5 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - St. Pauli · 1.5 goals / match - Wolfsburg
St. Pauli scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Wolfsburg scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Pauli
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - St. Pauli · 2 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.25 | 3.56 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 83% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): St. Pauli 0 - 0 - 2 Wolfsburg. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:0 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Pauli and Wolfsburg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 0, Wolfsburg won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?
St. Pauli score 1.50 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 2.50. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 100% of St. Pauli's matches and 50% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are St. Pauli and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 0-3-1 record (0.75 points per game) and Wolfsburg 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?
The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.