Poland - 1. LigaStadion MOSiRData current as of 13 August 2026

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stal Mielec play Polonia Bytom in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR.

Current form

Stal Mielec: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Polonia Bytom: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stal Mielec scores 2.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Polonia Bytom scores 2.33 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stal Mielec 100%, Polonia Bytom 100%. Over 2.5: Stal Mielec 67%, Polonia Bytom 100%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Polonia Bytom has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.39. Stal Mielec: 11.7 shots per match, Polonia Bytom: 14.0.

Match halves

Stal Mielec: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Stal Mielec: 0-15 (2 goals). Polonia Bytom: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.02)
(3.62)
(3.05)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
2Goals scored / match2.33
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
1.67Goals conceded / match2.33
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
48%Average possession53%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
3.67Shots on target / match4.67
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match14
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
3.67Shots on target4.67
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
17.1%Shot conversion16.7%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
48%Possession53%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
1.39xG for1.71
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
1.5xG against1.48
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

Shooting quality

Stal Mielec: Efficient finishingPolonia Bytom: Attacking
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stal Mielec is 26% better for: last-5 form.

1.67 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1.33 pts / match - Polonia Bytom

Stal Mielec
WDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W67% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Polonia Bytom
WLD
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.3Goals conceded: 2.3xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polonia Bytom is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 2.33 goals / match - Polonia Bytom

Stal Mielec is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 2.33 goals / match - Polonia Bytom

Stal Mielec scoring profile: very strong

Stal Mielec scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Polonia Bytom scoring profile: very strong

Polonia Bytom scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

6Goals scored (season)7
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
5Goals conceded (season)7
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
3.67Average goals in match4.67
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
67%2 goals67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%3 goals33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0%4 goals33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%2 goals100%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%3 goals33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0%4 goals0%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0%BTTS in both halves33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%Scored in both halves33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
100%BTTS - last 5100%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stal Mielec is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1 pts / match - Polonia Bytom

Stal Mielec - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Polonia Bytom - half-time state
33% leading0% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)1
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
1.33Goals scored (1st half)1
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
1.33Average goals (1st half)2.33
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%No goal before half-time33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
1.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
2.33Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
0%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
33%No goal after half-time33%
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom

Stal Mielec - second-half results

0% W67% R33% P
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.7

Concedes 1.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Polonia Bytom - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
3
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stal Mielec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.330.67
Goals scored / match1.30.7
Goals conceded / match0.01.7
Average goals in match1.32.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%100%
3 goals33%33%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Polonia Bytom - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.67
Goals scored / match1.01.3
Goals conceded / match1.31.0
Average goals in match2.32.3
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals67%67%
Clean sheet0%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 33% leading - 0% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stal Mielec
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Polonia Bytom
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
142%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stal Mielec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Polonia Bytom

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
170%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Stal MielecLigaPolonia Bytom
Average goals in match 3.672.93 4.67
Both teams scored 100%59% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%56% 100%
Clean sheets 0%20% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%81% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%74% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+-12%
Home attack advantage
+-14%
Home defence advantage
+-14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Stal Mielec 1 - 0 - 1 Polonia Bytom. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Stal Mielec and Polonia Bytom play?

Stal Mielec face Polonia Bytom on 16 August 2026 in 1. Liga at Stadion MOSiR. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stal Mielec and Polonia Bytom?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1, Polonia Bytom won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?

Stal Mielec score 2.00 goals per game on average and Polonia Bytom 2.33. The 1. Liga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Stal Mielec's matches and 100% of Polonia Bytom's.

What form are Stal Mielec and Polonia Bytom in?

Over the last 5 games Stal Mielec have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Polonia Bytom 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.