Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom: match statistics
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stal Mielec played Polonia Bytom in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Stal Mielec: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Polonia Bytom: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stal Mielec scores 2.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Polonia Bytom scores 2.33 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stal Mielec 100%, Polonia Bytom 100%. Over 2.5: Stal Mielec 67%, Polonia Bytom 100%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Bytom has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.39. Stal Mielec: 11.7 shots per match, Polonia Bytom: 14.0.
Match halves
Stal Mielec: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Stal Mielec: 0-15 (2 goals). Polonia Bytom: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stal Mielec are unbeaten in their last five matches, earning 11 points, while Polonia Bytom have collected just 4 points during the same period and lost three games. The hosts have scored 13 goals in their last five appearances, whereas the visitors have conceded as many as 14 goals over the same stretch, clearly highlighting Polonia’s defensive problems. At home, Stal average 2 goals per match and have not lost any game, although both of their home fixtures so far have ended in draws. Polonia have a higher average away xG, 1.48 compared with Stal’s 1.22 at home, as well as 60% possession, yet they have lost every away match to date. Stal’s superior current attacking form and the visitors’ poor defensive run point towards a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is very clear, as both teams have scored in 100% of their matches so far, compared with the league average of 59%. Stal Mielec score an average of 3.0 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets, while Polonia Bytom also have 0% of matches without conceding. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 2.6 goals scored, while the visitors averaged 1.8, with the respective defences conceding 1.4 and as many as 2.8 goals. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG: 1.84 for Stal and 1.48 for Polonia, while their opponents allow xG figures of 0.91 and 1.76, respectively. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for both sides, although Polonia’s better defensive organisation according to season-long xG against slightly reduces confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Stal averaged 2.6 goals scored, while Polonia conceded as many as 2.8 per game, clearly strengthening the hosts’ attacking potential. Polonia scored 1.8 goals per match during this period, whereas Stal allowed opponents an average of 1.4 goals. Both teams recorded goals from both sides in 100% of their last five matches, while Over 2.5 landed in 80% of Stal’s games and 100% of Polonia’s. The quality-of-chances indicators are also positive: average xG stands at 1.61 for Stal and 1.36 for Polonia, which is why the Over 1.5 line has the strongest statistical backing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Stal Mielec are in better form: they have averaged 2.6 goals scored across their last five matches and remain unbeaten, while Polonia Bytom have lost 60% of their games and conceded an average of 2.8 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, and their defence conceded just 0.2 goals before half-time during this period; Polonia were trailing after 45 minutes in 60% of matches and conceded an average of 1.2 goals by the break. Stal create an average of 1.84 xG per match and register 5.5 shots on target, while their finishing efficiency stands at 21%, significantly higher than the visitors’ 8%. After the break, the hosts still possess a strong attacking threat, having scored an average of 1.2 goals in their last five matches, while Polonia conceded 1.6 goals in second halves. The most logical HT/FT option is therefore 1/1: Stal Mielec to lead at half-time and maintain their winning advantage through full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stal Mielec | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stal Mielec is 26% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1.33 pts / match - Polonia Bytom
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Bytom is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 2.33 goals / match - Polonia Bytom
Stal Mielec is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 2.33 goals / match - Polonia Bytom
Stal Mielec scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Polonia Bytom scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stal Mielec
Over / Under - Polonia Bytom
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stal Mielec is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1 pts / match - Polonia Bytom
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Polonia Bytom - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stal Mielec
Polonia Bytom
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stal Mielec | Liga | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.79 | ▲ 4.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stal Mielec 1 - 0 - 1 Polonia Bytom. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
The 1. Liga match finished Stal Mielec 5:2 Polonia Bytom. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stal Mielec and Polonia Bytom?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1, Polonia Bytom won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
Stal Mielec score 2.00 goals per game on average and Polonia Bytom 2.33. The 1. Liga average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Stal Mielec's matches and 100% of Polonia Bytom's.
What form are Stal Mielec and Polonia Bytom in?
Over the last 5 games Stal Mielec have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Polonia Bytom 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.