Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: match statistics
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stenhousemuir played Inverness CT in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Venue: Ochilview Park. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Stenhousemuir: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Inverness CT: 0-3-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stenhousemuir scores 1.67 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 0.33 and concedes 0.33. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stenhousemuir 33%, Inverness CT 33%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 0%, Inverness CT 0%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 13%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.08. Stenhousemuir: 5.0 shots per match, Inverness CT: 9.3.
Match halves
Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33. Inverness CT: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (2 goals). Inverness CT: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 13%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, while they have collected 11 points from their last five matches after a run of three wins and two draws. The hosts have won 100% of their home games, scoring an average of 2 goals and yet to concede, whereas Inverness CT have recorded a draw away from home and failed to score in any of their away fixtures. The contrast in current form is also evident over the last five matches: Stenhousemuir have conceded just 1 goal, while Inverness CT have conceded as many as 7. The visitors are capable of averaging 69% possession and have an away xG of 1.20, but failing to score in 100% of their matches points to a serious finishing problem. Stenhousemuir’s solid defence and home efficiency favour a home win, although Inverness’s high draw rate increases the likelihood of a closely contested result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario of at least one team failing to score is strongly supported by the data, as Inverness CT have yet to find the net in the current campaign and have finished without scoring in 100% of their matches. Stenhousemuir concede just 0.5 goals per match on average, keep a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances, and have allowed opponents only 0.2 goals per game across their last five fixtures. The hosts are nevertheless capable of scoring against an away defence that has conceded an average of 1.4 goals over its last five matches, while Stenhousemuir have scored 1.2 goals per game during that period. Although Inverness CT’s xG over their last five matches stands at 1.22, compared with 1.38 xG conceded by the hosts, the visitors’ poor finishing and the league BTTS rate of 33% provide stronger support for the BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The competition profile is clearly low-scoring: the league average is only 1.8 goals, and just 13% of matches have gone Over 2.5 goals. In the teams’ matches played under the relevant conditions, Over 2.5 goals has never been recorded, while 100% of their games have stayed Under 3.5 goals. In their last five appearances, Stenhousemuir conceded an average of just 0.2 goals per match, while Inverness scored 0.8 goals, limiting the visitors’ attacking potential. Although recent xG figures suggest approximately 1.03 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors, the projected total of 2.00 goals still provides a substantial safety margin for Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Stenhousemuir win in the match, as the hosts have been level at the break in all of their last five fixtures, while their average first-half goal total is just 0.4. Inverness also rarely settles the outcome early: in four of their last five matches, they were not leading at half-time, scoring an average of only 0.2 goals before the interval. After the break, the hosts’ advantage increases significantly: they score an average of 1.0 goals without conceding, while the visitors score 0.6 and concede 1.0. Stenhousemuir are also in better current form, averaging 2.2 points per match and recording a 60% win rate in their last five appearances, compared with Inverness’s 1.2 points per match and just 20% wins. In addition, the hosts generate higher xG, 1.5 compared with 1.2, while the opponents’ defence concedes an average of 1.4 goals over their last five matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 57% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.83 | 0.06 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 133% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1 pts / match - Inverness CT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 406% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.33 goals / match - Inverness CT
Stenhousemuir scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Inverness CT scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
Over / Under - Inverness CT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.67 pts / match - Inverness CT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Inverness CT - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.75 | ▼ 0.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 13% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 41% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Stenhousemuir 2 - 2 - 0 Inverness CT. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
The Championship match finished Stenhousemuir 3:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 2, Inverness CT won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
Stenhousemuir score 1.67 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 0.33. The Championship average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 13% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 33% of Inverness CT's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Inverness CT 0-3-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.