Stranraer vs Dumbarton: match statistics
Stranraer vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stranraer played Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Stair Park. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Stranraer: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dumbarton: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stranraer scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 0.67 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stranraer 33%, Dumbarton 33%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 50%, Dumbarton 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.01. Stranraer: 8.3 shots per match, Dumbarton: 6.5.
Match halves
Stranraer: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Dumbarton: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Stranraer: 16-30 (3 goals). Dumbarton: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stranraer sit 3rd, while Dumbarton are 9th, and the hosts have collected 10 points from their last five matches through 3 wins and a draw, compared with the visitors’ 4 points. At home, Stranraer win 67% of their matches and concede just 0.33 goals per game, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their outings. Dumbarton have lost all three of their away matches so far, averaging only 0.33 goals scored and failing to find the net in 67% of them. The hosts’ superiority is also evident in chance quality: their average home xG is 1.13, while the visitors allow opponents 1.45 xG away from home and concede 2.33 goals per match. Stranraer have also scored 13 goals in their last five matches, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Dumbarton have scored just 0.33 goals per match this season and failed to score in 67% of their games. Their average xG is only 0.98, while their finishing efficiency stands at 4%, which limits the credibility of a goal-scoring scenario for the visitors. Stranraer have kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches, whereas Dumbarton have failed to keep a single one and conceded an average of 2.33 goals, giving the hosts clear grounds to win to nil. The visitors’ last five matches did produce BTTS in 60% of cases, but they still conceded an average of 2.2 goals, while their attacking xG dropped to 0.88. Stranraer are in strong scoring form, netting 2.6 goals per match across their last five appearances, but the main risk remains Dumbarton failing to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stranraer have clearly improved offensively, scoring an average of 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches with an xG of 1.71. Dumbarton conceded 2.2 goals per game during this period and 2.33 across the entire season, keeping no clean sheets. Both teams have produced Over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, while the league-wide average stands at a high 3.2 goals per game. The visitors have scored modestly themselves, averaging 1.0 goal in their last 5 appearances and generating 0.88 xG, but their contribution still strengthens the likelihood of at least two goals. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as the hosts’ superior attacking form compared with Dumbarton’s defensive record significantly reduces the risk of a match ending with no more than one goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Stranraer leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes, as the hosts had a half-time lead in each of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before the break and conceding none. Over the same period, Dumbarton were trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches, scoring just 0.6 goals before the break and conceding 1.2. The difference in quality is also reflected in their current form: Stranraer won 60% of their last five matches and scored an average of 2.6 goals, while Dumbarton suffered three defeats and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. After the break, the hosts still have the advantage, scoring an average of 1.2 goals in their last five matches, while the visitors failed to score after half-time in as many as 60% of those games. The possibility of a draw at half-time remains notable due to Stranraer’s moderate xG of 1.03, but Dumbarton’s poor finishing rate of just 4% further strengthens the 1/1 outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stranraer | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stranraer is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.2 pts / match - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stranraer is 124% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Stranraer · 0.67 goals / match - Dumbarton
Stranraer is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.83 goals / match - Dumbarton
Stranraer scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Dumbarton scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stranraer
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stranraer is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Stranraer · 0.83 pts / match - Dumbarton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stranraer
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stranraer | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Stranraer 1 - 2 - 1 Dumbarton. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished Stranraer 3:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and Dumbarton?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, Dumbarton won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Stranraer score 1.50 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 0.67. The League Two average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Stranraer's matches and 33% of Dumbarton's.
What form are Stranraer and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dumbarton 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
The statistical background for Stranraer vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.