Scotland - League TwoStair ParkData current as of 08 September 2026

Stranraer vs Dumbarton: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Stranraer vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stranraer play Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Stair Park.

Current form

Stranraer: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dumbarton: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stranraer scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 0.67 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.20 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stranraer 33%, Dumbarton 33%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 50%, Dumbarton 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Stranraer has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.01. Stranraer: 8.3 shots per match, Dumbarton: 6.5.

Match halves

Stranraer: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Dumbarton: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Stranraer: 16-30 (3 goals). Dumbarton: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.80)
(3.60)
(3.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match0.67
StranraerDumbarton
1Goals conceded / match1.83
StranraerDumbarton
41%Average possession46%
StranraerDumbarton
4.17Shots on target / match3.33
StranraerDumbarton

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.33Shots per match6.5
StranraerDumbarton
4.17Shots on target3.33
StranraerDumbarton
18%Shot conversion10.3%
StranraerDumbarton
41%Possession46%
StranraerDumbarton
1.17xG for1.01
StranraerDumbarton
1.29xG against1.45
StranraerDumbarton

Shooting quality

Stranraer: Counter-attackingDumbarton: Balanced
StranraerDumbarton
Accuracy (shots on target)50%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stranraer is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.2 pts / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer
LWDWW
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Dumbarton
WLLLW
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stranraer is 124% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Stranraer · 0.67 goals / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.83 goals / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer scoring profile: very strong

Stranraer scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Dumbarton scoring profile: mixed

Dumbarton scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

9Goals scored (season)4
StranraerDumbarton
6Goals conceded (season)11
StranraerDumbarton
2.5Average goals in match2.5
StranraerDumbarton
8Goals scored (last 5)4
StranraerDumbarton
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
StranraerDumbarton

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal50%
StranraerDumbarton
50%2 goals17%
StranraerDumbarton
17%3 goals0%
StranraerDumbarton
0%4 goals0%
StranraerDumbarton

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
StranraerDumbarton
33%2 goals67%
StranraerDumbarton
17%3 goals33%
StranraerDumbarton
0%4 goals0%
StranraerDumbarton

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
StranraerDumbarton
0%BTTS in both halves0%
StranraerDumbarton
17%Scored in both halves17%
StranraerDumbarton

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
StranraerDumbarton
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
StranraerDumbarton
20%BTTS - last 540%
StranraerDumbarton

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
StranraerDumbarton
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
StranraerDumbarton
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
StranraerDumbarton

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
StranraerDumbarton
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
StranraerDumbarton
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
StranraerDumbarton

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stranraer is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / match - Stranraer · 0.83 pts / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing
Dumbarton - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per match (1st half)0.83
StranraerDumbarton
1Goals scored (1st half)0.33
StranraerDumbarton
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
StranraerDumbarton
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.17
StranraerDumbarton
83%Clean sheet before half-time50%
StranraerDumbarton
33%No goal before half-time67%
StranraerDumbarton

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)0.67
StranraerDumbarton
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
StranraerDumbarton
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
StranraerDumbarton
1Average goals (2nd half)1.33
StranraerDumbarton
67%Clean sheet after half-time17%
StranraerDumbarton
67%No goal after half-time67%
StranraerDumbarton

Stranraer - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dumbarton - second-half results

17% W17% R67% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stranraer - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stranraer
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stranraer

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

StranraerLigaDumbarton
Average goals in match 2.503.20 2.50
Both teams scored 33%50% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%63% 50%
Clean sheets 50%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 67%80% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%87% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.20
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Stranraer 1 - 2 - 1 Dumbarton. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Stranraer and Dumbarton play?

Stranraer face Dumbarton on 12 September 2026 in League Two at Stair Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and Dumbarton?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, Dumbarton won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

Stranraer score 1.50 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 0.67. The League Two average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Stranraer's matches and 33% of Dumbarton's.

What form are Stranraer and Dumbarton in?

Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dumbarton 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

The statistical background for Stranraer vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.