Latvia - VirsligaOlaines stadionsData current as of 04 November 2026

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Super Nova play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 8 November 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions.

Current form

Super Nova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Super Nova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.51 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.20 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Super Nova 54%, BFC Daugavpils 51%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 54%, BFC Daugavpils 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.23. Super Nova: 9.9 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 12.9.

Match halves

Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.54. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Super Nova: 76-90+ (12 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-5-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.75)
(3.45)
(1.87)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1Goals scored / match1.2
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.51Goals conceded / match1.06
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
45%Average possession48%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
3.66Shots on target / match4.69
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.91Shots per match12.86
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
3.66Shots on target4.69
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
10.1%Shot conversion9.3%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
45%Possession48%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.23xG for1.57
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.73xG against1.57
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Shooting quality

Super Nova: BalancedBFC Daugavpils: Balanced
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

BFC Daugavpils is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Super Nova · 2.6 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils

Super Nova
WLLLD
Season result split
31% W17% D51% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-18
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-10
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
BFC Daugavpils
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W26% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-12
1.46 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

BFC Daugavpils is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.2 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.51 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.06 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils

Super Nova scoring profile: strong

Super Nova scores in 71% of matches (25 of 35 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).

BFC Daugavpils scoring profile: very strong

BFC Daugavpils scores in 71% of matches (25 of 35 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).

35Goals scored (season)42
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
53Goals conceded (season)37
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
2.51Average goals in match2.26
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
13Goals conceded (last 5)2
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
23%2 goals34%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
6%3 goals11%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0%4 goals3%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal69%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
46%2 goals20%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
17%3 goals11%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%4 goals6%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time6%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%Scored in both halves26%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
60%BTTS - last 540%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time51%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time51%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

BFC Daugavpils is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.03 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.4 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils

Super Nova - half-time state
17% leading51% draw31% trailing
BFC Daugavpils - half-time state
29% leading54% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)1.4
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.66
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
54%Clean sheet before half-time77%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
63%No goal before half-time66%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
49%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
57%No goal after half-time37%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Super Nova - second-half results

37% W17% D46% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

BFC Daugavpils - second-half results

26% W49% D26% L
49
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Super Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
BFC Daugavpils - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
15
31-45
6
9
46-60
1
6
61-75
12
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

BFC Daugavpils
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
6
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
17
12
46-60
4
6
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

BFC Daugavpils

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaBFC Daugavpils
Average goals in match▼ 2.512.92▼ 2.26
Both teams scored• 54%54%▼ 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 54%55%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 23%26%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%74%▼ 51%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Super Nova 2 - 5 - 0 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 57% matches.

Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 0
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 1
Super Nova
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
2 : 2
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 1
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
SK Super Nova
4 : 1
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
1 : 1
SK Super Nova

FAQ

When do Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils play?

Super Nova face BFC Daugavpils on 8 November 2026 in Virsliga at Olaines stadions. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 2, BFC Daugavpils won 0 and 5 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

Super Nova score 1.00 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.20. The Virsliga average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Super Nova's matches and 51% of BFC Daugavpils's.

What form are Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.