Latvia - VirsligaOlaines stadionsData current as of 22 July 2026

Super Nova vs Grobiņa: match statistics

Super Nova crest
Super Nova
2 : 0half-time 0:0
Grobiņa crest
Grobiņa

Super Nova vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Super Nova play Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 20 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Grobiņa scores 0.65 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Super Nova 61%, Grobiņa 35%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 57%, Grobiņa 22%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Super Nova has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.16. Super Nova: 9.0 shots per match, Grobiņa: 9.2.

Match halves

Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Grobiņa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26.

Goals by minute

Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

6 H2H matches: 2-4-0. Average goals 1.17, BTTS 33%.

Match description

Grobiņa concedes an average of 1.6 goals per away match and has conceded 4 goals in the last 5 fixtures, while Super Nova concedes 2.2 goals at home and has shipped 11 goals in their last 5 — a clear defensive advantage for the visitors. Offensively the hosts are more efficient: Super Nova scores 1.1 goals per home game, averages 8.3 shots (3.4 on target) and a 13% conversion rate, whereas Grobiņa on the road averages 10.1 shots (3.3 on target) but only 0.6 goals and a 6% conversion. Looking at xG, the visitors perform better — Grobiņa’s average away xG is 1.24 vs Super Nova’s 1.08 home xG, and over the last 5 matches the visitors average 1.4 points per game compared to the hosts’ 1.2. Additionally Super Nova’s home metrics are worrying: hosts win only 10% of home matches and have 0% clean sheets, while Grobiņa wins 20% of away games and keeps 20% clean sheets, which increases the visitors’ chances. Therefore I forecast an away win; probabilities: home 20%, draw 25%, away 55%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Super NovaGrobiņa
18Shots14
Super NovaGrobiņa
7Shots on target4
Super NovaGrobiņa
2.09xG1.62
Super NovaGrobiņa
5Corners4
Super NovaGrobiņa
65Dangerous attacks64
Super NovaGrobiņa
13Fouls17
Super NovaGrobiņa
2Cards2
Super NovaGrobiņa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Super NovaGrobiņa
1.09Goals scored / match0.65
Super NovaGrobiņa
1.52Goals conceded / match1.52
Super NovaGrobiņa
45%Average possession42%
Super NovaGrobiņa
3.61Shots on target / match3
Super NovaGrobiņa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.04Shots per match9.22
Super NovaGrobiņa
3.61Shots on target3
Super NovaGrobiņa
12%Shot conversion7.1%
Super NovaGrobiņa
45%Possession42%
Super NovaGrobiņa
1.19xG for1.16
Super NovaGrobiņa
1.67xG against1.6
Super NovaGrobiņa

Shooting quality

Super Nova: Counter-attackingGrobiņa: Balanced
Super NovaGrobiņa
Accuracy (shots on target)40%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Super Nova is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Super Nova · 0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa

Super Nova
LLWLW
Season result split
35% W13% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-12
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Grobiņa
LDLWL
Season result split
17% W35% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-11
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Super Nova is 68% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Super Nova · 0.65 goals / match - Grobiņa

Super Nova scoring profile: very strong

Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

Grobiņa scoring profile: strong

Grobiņa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

25Goals scored (season)15
Super NovaGrobiņa
35Goals conceded (season)35
Super NovaGrobiņa
2.61Average goals in match2.17
Super NovaGrobiņa
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Super NovaGrobiņa
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Super NovaGrobiņa

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal48%
Super NovaGrobiņa
26%2 goals9%
Super NovaGrobiņa
4%3 goals9%
Super NovaGrobiņa
0%4 goals0%
Super NovaGrobiņa

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal78%
Super NovaGrobiņa
48%2 goals39%
Super NovaGrobiņa
13%3 goals17%
Super NovaGrobiņa
9%4 goals4%
Super NovaGrobiņa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time13%
Super NovaGrobiņa
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Super NovaGrobiņa
9%Scored in both halves9%
Super NovaGrobiņa

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
Super NovaGrobiņa
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Super NovaGrobiņa
60%BTTS - last 520%
Super NovaGrobiņa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Super NovaGrobiņa
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Super NovaGrobiņa
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Super NovaGrobiņa

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Super NovaGrobiņa
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Super NovaGrobiņa
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Super NovaGrobiņa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Super Nova - half-time state
17% leading52% draw30% trailing
Grobiņa - half-time state
17% leading52% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.04
Super NovaGrobiņa
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Super NovaGrobiņa
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Super NovaGrobiņa
1.39Average goals (1st half)1.09
Super NovaGrobiņa
52%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Super NovaGrobiņa
57%No goal before half-time70%
Super NovaGrobiņa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)0.74
Super NovaGrobiņa
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.26
Super NovaGrobiņa
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Super NovaGrobiņa
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.09
Super NovaGrobiņa
48%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Super NovaGrobiņa
57%No goal after half-time74%
Super NovaGrobiņa

Super Nova - second-half results

35% W17% R48% P
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding206%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grobiņa - second-half results

9% W48% R43% P
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Super Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Grobiņa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
5
16-30
5
12
31-45
4
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Grobiņa
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
11
31-45
2
9
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Grobiņa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaGrobiņa
Average goals in match 2.612.98 2.17
Both teams scored 61%56% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%55% 22%
Clean sheets 22%24% 22%
Goal before half-time 61%75% 61%
Goal after half-time 87%84% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 2 - 4 - 0 Grobiņa. Average goals 1.17, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Grobiņa
0 : 2
Super Nova
Grobiņa
0 : 1
Super Nova
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
0 : 0
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
0 : 0
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
1 : 1
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 1
Grobinas Sporta Centrs

FAQ

What was the result of Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 2:0 Grobiņa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Grobiņa?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 2, Grobiņa won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

Super Nova score 1.09 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.65. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 35% of Grobiņa's.

What form are Super Nova and Grobiņa in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Grobiņa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.