Super Nova vs Grobiņa: match statistics
Super Nova vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova play Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 20 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Grobiņa scores 0.65 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 61%, Grobiņa 35%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 57%, Grobiņa 22%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Super Nova has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.16. Super Nova: 9.0 shots per match, Grobiņa: 9.2.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Grobiņa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-4-0. Average goals 1.17, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Grobiņa concedes an average of 1.6 goals per away match and has conceded 4 goals in the last 5 fixtures, while Super Nova concedes 2.2 goals at home and has shipped 11 goals in their last 5 — a clear defensive advantage for the visitors. Offensively the hosts are more efficient: Super Nova scores 1.1 goals per home game, averages 8.3 shots (3.4 on target) and a 13% conversion rate, whereas Grobiņa on the road averages 10.1 shots (3.3 on target) but only 0.6 goals and a 6% conversion. Looking at xG, the visitors perform better — Grobiņa’s average away xG is 1.24 vs Super Nova’s 1.08 home xG, and over the last 5 matches the visitors average 1.4 points per game compared to the hosts’ 1.2. Additionally Super Nova’s home metrics are worrying: hosts win only 10% of home matches and have 0% clean sheets, while Grobiņa wins 20% of away games and keeps 20% clean sheets, which increases the visitors’ chances. Therefore I forecast an away win; probabilities: home 20%, draw 25%, away 55%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Super Nova · 0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Super Nova · 0.65 goals / match - Grobiņa
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Grobiņa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Super Nova
Over / Under — Grobiņa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
Grobiņa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 2 - 4 - 0 Grobiņa. Average goals 1.17, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 2:0 Grobiņa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Grobiņa?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 2, Grobiņa won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Super Nova score 1.09 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.65. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 35% of Grobiņa's.
What form are Super Nova and Grobiņa in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Grobiņa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


