Super Nova vs Liepāja: match statistics
Super Nova vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova played Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 9 August 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Liepāja: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Liepāja scores 1.29 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 61%, Liepāja 54%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 57%, Liepāja 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Liepāja has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.19. Super Nova: 9.0 shots per match, Liepāja: 13.2.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Liepāja: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Liepāja: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova come into this match in better form, having won 3 of their last 5 fixtures and scored 8 goals in that run, while Liepāja have recorded 2 victories and just 6 goals. The hosts average 1.18 goals per home game, compared with only 0.85 for the visitors away from home, with Liepāja failing to score in as many as 38% of such matches. The away side do create more chances, averaging 14.85 shots and an xG of 1.68 compared with Super Nova’s 9.18 shots and xG of 1.17, but their conversion rate is only 6%, versus 13% for the hosts. Both defences are prone to mistakes, as Super Nova concede an average of 2.00 goals at home and Liepāja 1.92 away, so this match should offer chances at both ends. I give the hosts a slight edge thanks to their clearly stronger recent form and more efficient chance conversion.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is more likely, as Super Nova score an average of 1.82 goals per match, while Liepāja concede as many as 1.92 goals away from home. The hosts have scored in 82% of their matches, whereas the visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 15%, clearly favouring at least one Super Nova goal. Liepāja do have a low seasonal average of 0.85 goals, but their xG stands at 1.68, while across their last five matches they created an average of 1.71 xG and scored 1.2 goals. The recent form of both teams further supports a Goal/Goal scenario: BTTS occurred in 80% of Super Nova’s last five matches and in 60% of Liepāja’s, with the teams conceding an average of 1.8 and 1.6 goals respectively. The main risk to the pick is that Liepāja have failed to score in 38% of their matches; however, the hosts’ defensive struggles, reflected in just 18% clean sheets, give the visitors a realistic chance of finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Super Nova score an average of 1.82 goals per home game, while Liepāja concede as many as 1.92 goals away from home, clearly strengthening the outlook for goals from the hosts. The 1.5 line has been covered in 91% of Super Nova’s matches and 77% of Liepāja’s games, against a league average of 2.96 goals. The last five matches for both teams also had an open profile: Super Nova scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 goals, while Liepāja recorded 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. xG data remains high on both sides, with the hosts recently creating chances worth 1.63 xG and the visitors 1.71 xG. Over 1.5 is the safest choice, as the expected total of 2.80 goals provides a solid margin above this line, although greater volatility limits the edge on Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Super Nova were leading at the break in 7 of 11 matches, or 64%, while Liepāja were trailing at half-time as many as 8 times in 13 matches (62%). The hosts average 1.00 goals scored and just 0.36 conceded before the break, whereas the visitors score only 0.38 goals and concede 1.08. The overall match figures also favour Super Nova: they win 55% of their matches, while Liepāja lose 62%, conceding an average of 1.92 goals per game. Recent form suggests allowing for a greater risk of a half-time draw, as Super Nova drew at the break in 3 of their last 5 appearances. However, their more effective second-half performance, averaging 1.20 goals across their last five matches, strengthens the scenario of the hosts leading at the break and securing a full-time victory (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liepāja is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.29 goals / match - Liepāja
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Liepāja scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - Liepāja
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liepāja is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.29 pts / match - Liepāja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
Liepāja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 2 - 1 - 3 Liepāja. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Liepāja?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:2 Liepāja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Liepāja?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 2, Liepāja won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Liepāja?
Super Nova score 1.09 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.29. The Virsliga average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 54% of Liepāja's.
What form are Super Nova and Liepāja in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Liepāja 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Liepāja?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.