Latvia - VirsligaOlaines stadionsData current as of 05 August 2026

Super Nova vs Liepāja: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Super Nova vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Super Nova play Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 9 August 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions.

Current form

Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Liepāja: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Liepāja scores 1.29 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Super Nova 61%, Liepāja 54%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 57%, Liepāja 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Liepāja has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.19. Super Nova: 9.0 shots per match, Liepāja: 13.2.

Match halves

Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Liepāja: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Liepāja: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.16)
(3.50)
(2.02)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Super NovaLiepāja
1.09Goals scored / match1.29
Super NovaLiepāja
1.52Goals conceded / match1.5
Super NovaLiepāja
45%Average possession52%
Super NovaLiepāja
3.61Shots on target / match4.46
Super NovaLiepāja

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.04Shots per match13.17
Super NovaLiepāja
3.61Shots on target4.46
Super NovaLiepāja
12%Shot conversion9.8%
Super NovaLiepāja
45%Possession52%
Super NovaLiepāja
1.19xG for1.56
Super NovaLiepāja
1.68xG against1.49
Super NovaLiepāja

Shooting quality

Super Nova: Counter-attackingLiepāja: Balanced
Super NovaLiepāja
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Super Nova
LLWLW
Season result split
35% W13% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-12
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Liepāja
LWLWL
Season result split
38% W17% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-11
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Liepāja is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.29 goals / match - Liepāja

Super Nova scoring profile: very strong

Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).

Liepāja scoring profile: very strong

Liepāja scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

25Goals scored (season)31
Super NovaLiepāja
35Goals conceded (season)36
Super NovaLiepāja
2.61Average goals in match2.79
Super NovaLiepāja
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Super NovaLiepāja
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Super NovaLiepāja

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal71%
Super NovaLiepāja
26%2 goals38%
Super NovaLiepāja
4%3 goals13%
Super NovaLiepāja
0%4 goals8%
Super NovaLiepāja

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal83%
Super NovaLiepāja
48%2 goals38%
Super NovaLiepāja
13%3 goals17%
Super NovaLiepāja
9%4 goals8%
Super NovaLiepāja

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time8%
Super NovaLiepāja
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Super NovaLiepāja
9%Scored in both halves21%
Super NovaLiepāja

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Super NovaLiepāja
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Super NovaLiepāja
60%BTTS - last 540%
Super NovaLiepāja

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Super NovaLiepāja
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Super NovaLiepāja
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Super NovaLiepāja

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Super NovaLiepāja
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Super NovaLiepāja
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Super NovaLiepāja

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Liepāja is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.29 pts / match - Liepāja

Super Nova - half-time state
17% leading52% draw30% trailing
Liepāja - half-time state
38% leading17% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.29
Super NovaLiepāja
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Super NovaLiepāja
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Super NovaLiepāja
1.39Average goals (1st half)1.42
Super NovaLiepāja
52%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Super NovaLiepāja
57%No goal before half-time58%
Super NovaLiepāja

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Super NovaLiepāja
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Super NovaLiepāja
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Super NovaLiepāja
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Super NovaLiepāja
48%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Super NovaLiepāja
57%No goal after half-time50%
Super NovaLiepāja

Super Nova - second-half results

35% W17% R48% P
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding206%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Liepāja - second-half results

29% W33% R38% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Super Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Liepāja - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
5
16-30
5
12
31-45
4
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Liepāja
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
3
5
16-30
8
5
31-45
6
6
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Liepāja

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaLiepāja
Average goals in match 2.612.96 2.79
Both teams scored 61%55% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%55% 58%
Clean sheets 22%24% 17%
Goal before half-time 61%76% 88%
Goal after half-time 87%83% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 2 - 1 - 3 Liepāja. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Liepāja
2 : 1
Super Nova
Super Nova
1 : 2
Liepāja
SK Super Nova
3 : 0
FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
0 : 3
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 3
FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
2 : 2
SK Super Nova

FAQ

When do Super Nova and Liepāja play?

Super Nova face Liepāja on 9 August 2026 in Virsliga at Olaines stadions. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Liepāja?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 2, Liepāja won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Liepāja?

Super Nova score 1.09 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.29. The Virsliga average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 54% of Liepāja's.

What form are Super Nova and Liepāja in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Liepāja 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Liepāja?

The statistical background for Super Nova vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.