Latvia - VirsligaOlaines stadionsData current as of 07 September 2026

Super Nova vs Tukums: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Super Nova vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Super Nova play Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 10 September 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions.

Current form

Super Nova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tukums: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Super Nova scores 1.04 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.48 and concedes 2.03. League average: 2.97 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Super Nova 59%, Tukums 83%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 52%, Tukums 76%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Tukums has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.19. Super Nova: 9.3 shots per match, Tukums: 11.5.

Match halves

Super Nova: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52. Tukums: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Super Nova: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-3-1. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 86%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.04Goals scored / match1.48
Super NovaTukums
1.41Goals conceded / match2.03
Super NovaTukums
44%Average possession42%
Super NovaTukums
3.59Shots on target / match4.59
Super NovaTukums

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match11.48
Super NovaTukums
3.59Shots on target4.59
Super NovaTukums
11.1%Shot conversion12.9%
Super NovaTukums
44%Possession42%
Super NovaTukums
1.19xG for1.39
Super NovaTukums
1.7xG against1.77
Super NovaTukums

Shooting quality

Super Nova: BalancedTukums: Counter-attacking
Super NovaTukums
Accuracy (shots on target)38%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Super Nova is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.2 pts / match - Tukums

Super Nova
WLDDW
Season result split
33% W19% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-13
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Tukums
WLLLW
Season result split
17% W28% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-16
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tukums is 42% better for: goals scored per match.

1.04 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.48 goals / match - Tukums

Super Nova is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Super Nova · 2.03 goals / match - Tukums

Super Nova scoring profile: very strong

Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 29 matches).

Tukums scoring profile: very strong

Tukums scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).

28Goals scored (season)43
Super NovaTukums
38Goals conceded (season)59
Super NovaTukums
2.44Average goals in match3.52
Super NovaTukums
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Super NovaTukums
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
Super NovaTukums

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal86%
Super NovaTukums
22%2 goals31%
Super NovaTukums
4%3 goals14%
Super NovaTukums
0%4 goals7%
Super NovaTukums

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal97%
Super NovaTukums
44%2 goals62%
Super NovaTukums
11%3 goals38%
Super NovaTukums
7%4 goals7%
Super NovaTukums

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time38%
Super NovaTukums
0%BTTS in both halves7%
Super NovaTukums
7%Scored in both halves24%
Super NovaTukums

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS66%
Super NovaTukums
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Super NovaTukums
40%BTTS - last 560%
Super NovaTukums

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Super NovaTukums
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time59%
Super NovaTukums
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Super NovaTukums

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Super NovaTukums
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Super NovaTukums
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Super NovaTukums

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Super Nova is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - Super Nova · 0.97 pts / match - Tukums

Super Nova - half-time state
19% leading52% draw30% trailing
Tukums - half-time state
21% leading34% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)0.97
Super NovaTukums
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Super NovaTukums
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)1
Super NovaTukums
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.72
Super NovaTukums
56%Clean sheet before half-time28%
Super NovaTukums
59%No goal before half-time45%
Super NovaTukums

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Super NovaTukums
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Super NovaTukums
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Super NovaTukums
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Super NovaTukums
52%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Super NovaTukums
56%No goal after half-time45%
Super NovaTukums

Super Nova - second-half results

37% W19% R44% P
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tukums - second-half results

28% W31% R41% P
28
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Super Nova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tukums - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
12
31-45
5
7
46-60
1
3
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tukums
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
12
16-30
11
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
4
13
61-75
14
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tukums

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaTukums
Average goals in match 2.442.97 3.52
Both teams scored 59%55% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%56% 76%
Clean sheets 26%24% 3%
Goal before half-time 59%75% 90%
Goal after half-time 85%83% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.97
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Super Nova 3 - 3 - 1 Tukums. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 86% matches.

Tukums
1 : 2
Super Nova
Super Nova
1 : 1
Tukums
Tukums
1 : 2
Super Nova
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 1
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 0
FK Tukums 2000
SK Super Nova
1 : 1
FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 2
SK Super Nova

FAQ

When do Super Nova and Tukums play?

Super Nova face Tukums on 10 September 2026 in Virsliga at Olaines stadions. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Tukums?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 3, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Tukums?

Super Nova score 1.04 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.48. The Virsliga average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Super Nova's matches and 83% of Tukums's.

What form are Super Nova and Tukums in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tukums 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Tukums?

The statistical background for Super Nova vs Tukums — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.