Super Nova vs Tukums: match statistics
Super Nova vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova played Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 10 September 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Super Nova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tukums: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.04 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.48 and concedes 2.03. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 59%, Tukums 83%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 52%, Tukums 76%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.19. Super Nova: 9.3 shots per match, Tukums: 11.5.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52. Tukums: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-3-1. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 86%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova have a clear home advantage: the hosts have lost 62% of their matches there, while Tukums have failed to win a single away game and have suffered defeat in 71% of their away appearances. The visitors are highly vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 2.57 goals away from home and keeping no clean sheets, while Super Nova score 1.08 goals per game at home. The quality of chances does not give the hosts a significant edge, with their average xG standing at 1.17 compared with Tukums’ 1.35, but the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.76 xG. Neither team has impressed recently, but Super Nova have conceded just 4 goals in their previous five matches, compared with 11 for Tukums. A narrow home win is therefore the most likely outcome, although Super Nova’s poor finishing—they have scored 3 goals in their last five matches—increases the risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are very high: Super Nova have recorded BTTS in 87% of their matches, while Tukums have done so in 79%, clearly above the league average of 55%. The hosts score an average of 1.80 goals, while Tukums concede as many as 2.57 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets. Tukums should also create chances at the other end, given their average xG of 1.35, while Super Nova allow opponents 1.77 xG and concede an average of 1.53 goals. Caution is warranted due to the hosts’ weaker recent attacking output: they have scored only 3 goals in their last five matches, with their BTTS rate dropping to 40%. Nevertheless, the visitors’ extremely poor defensive record—11 goals conceded in their last five appearances—strengthens the scenario in which both teams find the net, making BTTS - Yes the preferred angle over BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Super Nova’s matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 93% of cases, while Tukums have done so in all of their matches so far, providing a very strong argument for at least two goals. Tukums concede an average of 2.57 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets, while Super Nova score an average of 1.80 goals at home. Both teams allow their opponents high-quality chances: their average xG against is 1.77 for Super Nova and 1.76 for Tukums, respectively. Super Nova’s recent form has been more cautious, as they have scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, but Tukums have conceded 11 goals over the same period, maintaining the edge for the Over 1.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Super Nova were level at the break in 47% of their matches, while Tukums were trailing after 45 minutes in as many as 57% of games. The hosts have a stronger case for securing the final victory: they score an average of 1.80 goals per match, whereas Tukums concede as many as 2.57, and the visitors have not won a single league match, losing 71% of them. After the break, Super Nova average 1.00 goal and collect 1.53 points per match in this period, compared with 0.50 goals and 0.71 points for Tukums. The visitors' weak second-half defence, conceding an average of 1.36 goals, increases the likelihood of the hosts settling the match only after half-time. However, the similar xG averages—1.41 for Super Nova and 1.35 for Tukums—along with the hosts' cautious recent form suggest avoiding the assumption that they will lead at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.2 pts / match - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.48 goals / match - Tukums
Super Nova is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Super Nova · 2.03 goals / match - Tukums
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 29 matches).
Tukums scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Super Nova · 0.97 pts / match - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 76% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 25% | ▼ 3% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Super Nova 3 - 3 - 1 Tukums. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 86% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:0 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Tukums?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 3, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Tukums?
Super Nova score 1.04 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.48. The Virsliga average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Super Nova's matches and 83% of Tukums's.
What form are Super Nova and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tukums 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Tukums?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Tukums — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.