Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 01 September 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Flora play Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Tallinna FC Flora: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.92 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.80 and concedes 0.88. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 50%, Nõmme Kalju 52%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 79%, Nõmme Kalju 44%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.84. Tallinna FC Flora: 16.5 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 15.6.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (10 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.92Goals scored / match1.8
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.25Goals conceded / match0.88
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
59%Average possession53%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
5.42Shots on target / match5.36
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match15.56
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
5.42Shots on target5.36
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
11.6%Shot conversion11.6%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
59%Possession53%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
2.02xG for1.84
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.38xG against1.4
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: DominantNõmme Kalju: Attacking
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nõmme Kalju is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.8 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tallinna FC Flora
WLWLL
Season result split
58% W0% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-0-10
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-0-6
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Nõmme Kalju
WWWLL
Season result split
52% W20% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-7
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju

Nõmme Kalju is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.88 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).

46Goals scored (season)45
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
30Goals conceded (season)22
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
3.17Average goals in match2.68
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
7Goals scored (last 5)12
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal84%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
54%2 goals44%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
25%3 goals24%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
13%4 goals12%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal64%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
38%2 goals16%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
21%3 goals8%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
4%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 24 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time12%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
38%Scored in both halves28%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
80%BTTS - last 560%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.92 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing
Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
52% leading36% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.92
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0.83Goals scored (1st half)1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.28
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
58%Clean sheet before half-time76%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
46%No goal before half-time44%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
63%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
29%No goal after half-time44%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

58% W8% R33% P
34
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

36% W32% R32% P
48
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Nõmme Kalju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.600.80
Goals scored / match2.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+10-4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
8
7
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
11
4
16-30
9
2
31-45
3
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaNõmme Kalju
Average goals in match 3.173.11 2.68
Both teams scored 50%59% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 79%66% 44%
Clean sheets 38%22% 36%
Goal before half-time 75%75% 68%
Goal after half-time 96%89% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Tallinna FC Flora 3 - 0 - 3 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Nõmme Kalju
0 : 1
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
0 : 1
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju FC
3 : 1
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
1 : 0
Nõmme Kalju FC
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 3
Nõmme Kalju FC
Nõmme Kalju FC
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju play?

Tallinna FC Flora face Nõmme Kalju on 5 September 2026 in Meistriliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 3, Nõmme Kalju won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?

Tallinna FC Flora score 1.92 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.80. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 52% of Nõmme Kalju's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?

The statistical background for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.