Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of 18 September 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Flora play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Current form

Tallinna FC Flora: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Vaprus: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.00 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.29 and concedes 1.96. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 57%, Vaprus 64%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 82%, Vaprus 64%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.20. Tallinna FC Flora: 15.9 shots per match, Vaprus: 9.1.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.07. Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (12 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 6-0-1. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 29%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
2Goals scored / match1.29
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.32Goals conceded / match1.96
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
58%Average possession46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
5.14Shots on target / match3.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.86Shots per match9.07
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
5.14Shots on target3.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
12.6%Shot conversion14.2%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
58%Possession46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.95xG for1.2
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.47xG against2.03
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: DominantVaprus: Counter-attacking
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)32%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Flora is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.8 pts / match - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora
LWWDW
Season result split
61% W4% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-1-10
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-0-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Vaprus
DWLLL
Season result split
32% W14% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-15
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 2.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 55% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.29 goals / match - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.96 goals / match - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

56Goals scored (season)36
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
37Goals conceded (season)55
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
3.32Average goals in match3.25
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
11Goals scored (last 5)5
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal79%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
61%2 goals32%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
29%3 goals11%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
11%4 goals4%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal79%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
43%2 goals61%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
18%3 goals29%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
4%4 goals11%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 28 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time32%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
36%Scored in both halves25%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
100%BTTS - last 540%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.18 pts / match - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
36% leading39% draw25% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
25% leading43% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.18
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.89
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.54
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
50%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
43%No goal before half-time46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.07Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
61%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
32%No goal after half-time50%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

54% W18% D29% L
41
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding169%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W25% D46% L
33
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.21.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Vaprus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
10
8
16-30
10
7
31-45
9
5
46-60
12
5
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
8
7
16-30
6
8
31-45
8
11
46-60
4
10
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaVaprus
Average goals in match 3.323.13 3.25
Both teams scored 57%57% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 82%65% 64%
Clean sheets 32%23% 21%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 75%
Goal after half-time 89%88% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Tallinna FC Flora 6 - 0 - 1 Vaprus. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 29% matches.

Vaprus
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Vaprus
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 0
Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
3 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
0 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Flora and Vaprus play?

Tallinna FC Flora face Vaprus on 20 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Vaprus?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 6, Vaprus won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus?

Tallinna FC Flora score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.29. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 64% of Vaprus's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vaprus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.