Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of 24 July 2026

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Levadia play Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 16 September 2026 at 18:00. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Current form

Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tammeka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.17 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 74%, Tammeka 50%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 74%, Tammeka 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.60. Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8 shots per match, Tammeka: 13.9.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26. Tammeka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). Tammeka: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

6 H2H matches: 5-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.23)
(5.80)
(9.75)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
2.58Goals scored / match1.17
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0.84Goals conceded / match1.44
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
58%Average possession51%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
6.74Shots on target / match4.78
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.79Shots per match13.89
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
6.74Shots on target4.78
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
13%Shot conversion8.4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
58%Possession51%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
2.3xG for1.6
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.05xG against1.6
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Levadia: DominantTammeka: Balanced
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia
WWDLW
Season result split
74% W21% R5% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-4-1
2.42 pts / match · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Tammeka
DWWWL
Season result split
44% W11% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-8
1.44 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 121% better for: goals scored per match.

2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.17 goals / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.44 goals / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Tammeka scoring profile: strong

Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

49Goals scored (season)21
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
16Goals conceded (season)26
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
3.42Average goals in match2.61
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
10Goals scored (last 5)6
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
74%2 goals33%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
42%3 goals17%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
16%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal72%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
11%2 goals33%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0%3 goals22%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0%4 goals11%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

74%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 19 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time33%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
63%Scored in both halves17%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
100%BTTS - last 560%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
79%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 137% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 0.89 pts / match - Tammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
58% leading37% draw5% trailing
Tammeka - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.11Points per match (1st half)0.89
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.32Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.94
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.44
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
68%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
26%No goal before half-time67%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

After half-time (2nd half)

1.89Points per match (2nd half)1.56
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.26Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
53%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka
11%No goal after half-time50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaTammeka

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

47% W47% R5% P
40
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tammeka - second-half results

39% W39% R22% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
9
2
16-30
8
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
10
3
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
0
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC LevadiaLigaTammeka
Average goals in match 3.423.11 2.61
Both teams scored 74%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 74%66% 56%
Clean sheets 26%23% 28%
Goal before half-time 79%74% 61%
Goal after half-time 95%88% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Tallinna FC Levadia 5 - 1 - 0 Tammeka. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Tammeka
0 : 1
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tammeka
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
3 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
2 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
4 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Levadia and Tammeka play?

Tallinna FC Levadia face Tammeka on 16 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Tammeka?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 5, Tammeka won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka?

Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.58 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.17. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 50% of Tammeka's.

What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Tammeka in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tammeka 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tammeka?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.