Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 13 September 2026

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics

The New Saints crest
The New Saints
0 : 2half-time 0:2
Colwyn Bay crest
Colwyn Bay
175%(1.24)
X15%(5.80)
210%(10.00)

The New Saints will dominate this match as the undisputed league leaders from the top position. The hosts display impressive home form with 86% of matches won at home, averaging 3.14 goals per game while conceding only 0.86. Colwyn Bay have very poor away statistics – just 38% wins, as many as 46% losses, and a mere 0.92 goals scored on average per match. The difference in possession quality (68% for TNS vs 44% for the visitors) and conversion rate (17% vs 8%) further underscores the hosts' advantage. The New Saints' home goal difference stands at +32, which, combined with their current run of four wins in their last five matches, makes them the clear favorite for this encounter.

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

The New Saints played Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

The New Saints: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

The New Saints scores 2.64 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.36 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: The New Saints 43%, Colwyn Bay 50%. Over 2.5: The New Saints 68%, Colwyn Bay 46%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

The New Saints has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.48. The New Saints: 16.7 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 11.8.

Match halves

The New Saints: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 1.54. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

The New Saints: 46-60 (17 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The New Saints will dominate this match as the undisputed league leaders from the top position. The hosts display impressive home form with 86% of matches won at home, averaging 3.14 goals per game while conceding only 0.86. Colwyn Bay have very poor away statistics – just 38% wins, as many as 46% losses, and a mere 0.92 goals scored on average per match. The difference in possession quality (68% for TNS vs 44% for the visitors) and conversion rate (17% vs 8%) further underscores the hosts' advantage. The New Saints' home goal difference stands at +32, which, combined with their current run of four wins in their last five matches, makes them the clear favorite for this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

72Possession (%)28
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
10Shots11
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
3Shots on target6
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
1.69xG1.56
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
3Corners3
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
117Dangerous attacks62
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
6Fouls7
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
3Cards0
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

The New SaintsColwyn Bay
2.64Goals scored / match1.36
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
0.79Goals conceded / match1.21
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
66%Average possession45%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
6.61Shots on target / match4.5
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.68Shots per match11.79
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
6.61Shots on target4.5
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
15.8%Shot conversion11.5%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
66%Possession45%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
2.11xG for1.48
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
0.97xG against1.47
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

The New Saints: DominantColwyn Bay: Balanced
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

The New Saints is 67% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.8 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

The New Saints
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
82% W7% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
23-2-3
2.54 pts / match · goal difference +52
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-0-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.23Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Colwyn Bay
WLWLW
Season result split
39% W25% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-10
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

The New Saints is 94% better for: goals scored per match.

2.64 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.36 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

The New Saints is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - The New Saints · 1.21 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

The New Saints scoring profile: very strong

The New Saints scores in 93% of matches (26 of 28 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: mixed

Colwyn Bay scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 54% (15 of 28 matches).

74Goals scored (season)38
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
22Goals conceded (season)34
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
3.43Average goals in match2.57
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
14Goals scored (last 5)7
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal68%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
79%2 goals36%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
43%3 goals21%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
25%4 goals7%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

46%1 goal75%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
21%2 goals29%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
11%3 goals11%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
0%4 goals7%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time21%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
4%BTTS in both halves7%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
54%Scored in both halves25%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
60%BTTS - last 540%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

The New Saints is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.11 pts / match - The New Saints · 1.43 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

The New Saints - half-time state
61% leading29% draw11% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
36% leading36% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.11Points per match (1st half)1.43
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
1.11Goals scored (1st half)0.75
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.32
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
75%Clean sheet before half-time54%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
32%No goal before half-time50%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

2.21Points per match (2nd half)1.21
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
1.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
2Average goals (2nd half)1.25
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
64%Clean sheet after half-time54%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay
21%No goal after half-time57%
The New SaintsColwyn Bay

The New Saints - second-half results

64% W29% D7% L
59
Half-time points
31
Half-time goals
+22
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+30
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

21% W57% D21% L
40
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

The New Saints - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.403.00
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+2+9
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Colwyn Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

The New Saints
ScoredConceded
11
1
0-15
11
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
17
3
46-60
9
3
61-75
17
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
6
6
16-30
9
5
31-45
6
5
46-60
6
7
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

The New Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
173%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

The New SaintsLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals in match 3.432.95 2.57
Both teams scored 43%51% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%55% 46%
Clean sheets 54%29% 25%
Goal before half-time 79%73% 75%
Goal after half-time 82%77% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Colwyn BayGoalLewis Sirrell
  2. The New SaintsRed cardJack Edwards
  3. The New SaintsSubstitutionOn: Bryn OwenOff: Ryan Brobbel
  4. Colwyn BayGoalJordan Davies
  5. Colwyn BaySubstitutionOn: Louis Gabriel RoblesOff: Issa Kargbo
  6. The New SaintsYellow cardDaniel Redmond

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Mark PetchMatches officiated: 8
3.38Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 225%Home wins13%Draws63%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): The New Saints 2 - 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 0:2 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between The New Saints and Colwyn Bay?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches The New Saints won 2, Colwyn Bay won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

The New Saints score 2.64 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.36. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of The New Saints's matches and 50% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are The New Saints and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.