Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildÞórsvöllurData current as of 14 October 2026

Thór vs Stjarnan: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Thór vs Stjarnan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Thór play Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Þórsvöllur.

Current form

Thór: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stjarnan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Thór scores 0.96 and concedes 2.28 goals per match. Stjarnan scores 1.84 and concedes 2.32. League average: 3.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Thór 48%, Stjarnan 76%. Over 2.5: Thór 56%, Stjarnan 80%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 71%.

xG, shots and style

Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.24. Thór: 11.4 shots per match, Stjarnan: 16.2.

Match halves

Thór: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.56. Stjarnan: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Thór: 76-90+ (6 goals). Stjarnan: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.87 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 71%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.68)
(4.30)
(1.74)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.96Goals scored / match1.84
ThórStjarnan
2.28Goals conceded / match2.32
ThórStjarnan
42%Average possession56%
ThórStjarnan
3.28Shots on target / match6.04
ThórStjarnan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.36Shots per match16.24
ThórStjarnan
3.28Shots on target6.04
ThórStjarnan
8.5%Shot conversion11.3%
ThórStjarnan
42%Possession56%
ThórStjarnan
1.24xG for1.9
ThórStjarnan
2.14xG against1.87
ThórStjarnan

Shooting quality

Thór: BalancedStjarnan: Dominant
ThórStjarnan
Accuracy (shots on target)29%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Thór is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Thór · 1.4 pts / match - Stjarnan

Thór
WWLLW
Season result split
28% W12% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-15
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-6
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Stjarnan
WDWLL
Season result split
36% W16% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-12
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stjarnan is 92% better for: goals scored per match.

0.96 goals / match - Thór · 1.84 goals / match - Stjarnan

Thór scoring profile: very strong

Thór scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).

Stjarnan scoring profile: very strong

Stjarnan scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).

24Goals scored (season)46
ThórStjarnan
57Goals conceded (season)58
ThórStjarnan
3.24Average goals in match4.16
ThórStjarnan
4Goals scored (last 5)8
ThórStjarnan
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
ThórStjarnan

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal88%
ThórStjarnan
24%2 goals60%
ThórStjarnan
4%3 goals28%
ThórStjarnan
0%4 goals8%
ThórStjarnan

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal88%
ThórStjarnan
56%2 goals72%
ThórStjarnan
44%3 goals40%
ThórStjarnan
32%4 goals20%
ThórStjarnan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time36%
ThórStjarnan
0%BTTS in both halves20%
ThórStjarnan
4%Scored in both halves28%
ThórStjarnan

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS72%
ThórStjarnan
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ThórStjarnan
20%BTTS - last 540%
ThórStjarnan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
ThórStjarnan
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time76%
ThórStjarnan
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time36%
ThórStjarnan

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
ThórStjarnan
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
ThórStjarnan
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
ThórStjarnan

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stjarnan is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.92 pts / match - Thór · 1.12 pts / match - Stjarnan

Thór - half-time state
20% leading32% draw48% trailing
Stjarnan - half-time state
28% leading28% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.92Points per match (1st half)1.12
ThórStjarnan
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1
ThórStjarnan
0.96Goals conceded (1st half)1.24
ThórStjarnan
1.36Average goals (1st half)2.24
ThórStjarnan
40%Clean sheet before half-time32%
ThórStjarnan
68%No goal before half-time40%
ThórStjarnan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.24
ThórStjarnan
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
ThórStjarnan
1.32Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
ThórStjarnan
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.92
ThórStjarnan
36%Clean sheet after half-time28%
ThórStjarnan
60%No goal after half-time44%
ThórStjarnan

Thór - second-half results

24% W32% D44% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stjarnan - second-half results

32% W28% D40% L
28
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Thór - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stjarnan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Thór
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
2
11
16-30
4
8
31-45
3
8
46-60
5
10
61-75
6
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Stjarnan
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
8
10
16-30
10
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
6
9
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Thór

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+12.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Stjarnan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

ThórLigaStjarnan
Average goals in match▼ 3.243.87▲ 4.16
Both teams scored▼ 48%71%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 56%71%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 24%16%▼ 12%
Goal before half-time▼ 76%82%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%87%▼ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.87
Average goals per match
71%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / match
1.74
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Thór 0 - 0 - 2 Stjarnan. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Thór and Stjarnan play?

Thór face Stjarnan on 17 October 2026 in Úrvalsdeild at Þórsvöllur. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Thór and Stjarnan?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Thór won 0, Stjarnan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Thór vs Stjarnan?

Thór score 0.96 goals per game on average and Stjarnan 1.84. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Thór's matches and 76% of Stjarnan's.

What form are Thór and Stjarnan in?

Over the last 5 games Thór have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stjarnan 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thór vs Stjarnan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Thór vs Stjarnan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.