Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 03 November 2026

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: match statistics

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Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tlaxcala play CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 November 2026.

Current form

Tlaxcala: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. CA La Paz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tlaxcala scores 1.93 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 2.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tlaxcala 73%, CA La Paz 67%. Over 2.5: Tlaxcala 67%, CA La Paz 80%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.54. Tlaxcala: 12.3 shots per match, CA La Paz: 17.1.

Match halves

Tlaxcala: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.27. CA La Paz: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (11 goals). CA La Paz: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.41)
(3.65)
(2.43)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.93Goals scored / match2.4
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.8Goals conceded / match1.2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
45%Average possession56%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
4.73Shots on target / match6.07
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.27Shots per match17.07
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
4.73Shots on target6.07
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
15.8%Shot conversion14.1%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
45%Possession56%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.54xG for1.93
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.52xG against1.5
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Shooting quality

Tlaxcala: Counter-attackingCA La Paz: Dominant
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tlaxcala is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 2 pts / match - CA La Paz

Tlaxcala
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W27% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-5
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
CA La Paz
LWDWW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-3
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.37Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.93 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 2.4 goals / match - CA La Paz

CA La Paz is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.2 goals / match - CA La Paz

Tlaxcala scoring profile: very strong

Tlaxcala scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

29Goals scored (season)36
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
27Goals conceded (season)18
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
3.73Average goals in match3.6
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
11Goals scored (last 5)13
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal93%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
67%2 goals80%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
27%3 goals47%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
13%4 goals13%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal73%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
53%2 goals33%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
27%3 goals7%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
13%4 goals7%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time33%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
33%Scored in both halves53%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
60%BTTS - last 580%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
73%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.73 pts / match - CA La Paz

Tlaxcala - half-time state
33% leading27% draw40% trailing
CA La Paz - half-time state
47% leading33% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.73
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.8
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
47%No goal before half-time20%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.8
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
33%No goal after half-time33%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Tlaxcala - second-half results

47% W13% D40% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CA La Paz - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
26
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tlaxcala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.0
Average goals in match2.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
3
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
5
16-30
8
3
31-45
7
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
185%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

TlaxcalaLigaCA La Paz
Average goals in match▲ 3.733.21▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▲ 73%58%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%63%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 13%23%▲ 27%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%76%▲ 87%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%▲ 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Tlaxcala 0 - 2 - 1 CA La Paz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Tlaxcala and CA La Paz play?

Tlaxcala face CA La Paz on 4 November 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tlaxcala and CA La Paz?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Tlaxcala score 1.93 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 2.40. The Ascenso MX average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Tlaxcala's matches and 67% of CA La Paz's.

What form are Tlaxcala and CA La Paz in?

Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.