TPS vs Ilves: match statistics
TPS vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TPS played Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Veritas Stadion. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
TPS: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ilves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
TPS scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.63 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TPS 50%, Ilves 58%. Over 2.5: TPS 42%, Ilves 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.40. TPS: 12.1 shots per match, Ilves: 11.6.
Match halves
TPS: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63. Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
TPS: 76-90+ (9 goals). Ilves: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
TPS have a clear home advantage: they have won 58% of their home matches, with just 17% defeats, while Ilves have won only 9% of their away games and lost 64%. The hosts concede an average of just 0.75 goals per match at home and keep a clean sheet in 58% of their appearances, whereas Ilves concede an average of 2.36 goals away from home and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Ilves’s attack creates slightly more, with an average xG of 1.50 compared with TPS’s 1.35, but the visitors have a very poor defensive balance, allowing 1.80 xG against. Both teams have averaged 1.2 points per game over their last five matches, but TPS conceded only 3 goals during that period, compared with Ilves’s 7. The hosts should exploit their opponents’ defensive vulnerability and are the most likely winners of the match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is not primarily based on TPS having a highly solid defense: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 54% of their matches and concede just 0.92 goals per game on average. Their recent defensive form is even stronger, having conceded just 3 goals across their last five matches, or 0.6 per game. Ilves score an average of 1.55 goals and have a high 82% rate of matches featuring goals from both teams, but they have failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home, which strongly supports a TPS goal. At the same time, TPS have scored just 4 goals in their last five matches, while BTTS - Yes has occurred in only 38% of their matches this season, compared with the league average of 49%. The most likely scenario is therefore that at least one team fails to score, even though Ilves’ defensive weakness gives the hosts a realistic chance of finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
TPS score an average of 1.69 goals at home, while Ilves concede as many as 2.36 goals per away match, clearly increasing the hosts’ attacking potential. Ilves score an average of 1.55 goals and register 13.18 shots per game, although TPS have the stronger defence, conceding just 0.92 goals on average. At least 2 goals were scored in 69% of TPS matches and 91% of Ilves matches, while both teams recorded 100% of games with at least one goal. TPS’s recent form has been more cautious, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded across five matches, which keeps the 2.5 line close to balance. The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals, as the high rates of matches finishing above this line, combined with Ilves’s very poor away defence, should be enough to produce at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
TPS have won 62% of their matches this season, compared with just 9% for Ilves, while the hosts’ points-per-game figure stands at 1.92 versus only 0.55 for the visitors. The strongest signal for TPS to lead at the break comes from the Ilves defence, which concedes an average of 1.55 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.38 goals conceded by TPS during this period. The hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 46% of their matches, while the visitors went into half-time trailing in as many as 36% of cases. After the interval, TPS still maintain a positive goal difference, scoring an average of 0.85 goals and conceding 0.54, whereas Ilves have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT scenario is TPS leading at half-time and securing the win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TPS | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - TPS · 1.63 goals / match - Ilves
TPS is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - TPS · 1.58 goals / match - Ilves
TPS scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Ilves scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - TPS
Over / Under - Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - TPS · 1.46 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TPS
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| TPS | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 45% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): TPS 0 - 0 - 2 Ilves. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of TPS vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 0:3 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between TPS and Ilves?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches TPS won 0, Ilves won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs Ilves?
TPS score 1.17 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.63. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of TPS's matches and 58% of Ilves's.
What form are TPS and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games TPS have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ilves 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs Ilves?
The statistical background for TPS vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.