Trans vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Trans vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trans played Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 14 October 2026. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Trans: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Kuressaare: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trans scores 0.80 and concedes 2.23 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 1.10 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trans 47%, Kuressaare 50%. Over 2.5: Trans 67%, Kuressaare 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Trans: 12.5 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.9.
Match halves
Trans: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30. Kuressaare: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Trans: 16-30 (6 goals). Kuressaare: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-4. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Trans hold a slight advantage thanks to home-field advantage: they score an average of 1.13 goals at home, while Kuressaare score 0.87 goals away and fail to find the net in 53% of their matches. The hosts create chances at home worth an average xG of 1.58, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 2.14 away, giving Trans a chance to break through. However, Kuressaare have the edge in recent form: they have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Trans have yet to win and have scored just 4 goals. Both defences remain a concern—each side has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches—so despite the lean towards the hosts, a draw or an away win remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing both teams to score, although the case for this outcome is only marginal: BTTS landed in 57% of Trans matches and 47% of Kuressaare matches, rising to 60% across each team’s last 5 games. Clean sheets are rare — Trans kept one in 14% of matches, while Kuressaare did so in just 7% — and both teams conceded 2.0 goals per game over their last 5 matches. Their attacking potential also supports this outcome, with average xG of 1.52 for the hosts and 1.47 for the visitors. However, the frequency of matches in which they failed to score — 43% and 53%, respectively — tempers confidence, so the edge for BTTS - Yes remains moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 71% of Trans’s matches and 67% of Kuressaare’s. Both defenses allow opponents chances, with Trans and Kuressaare conceding average xG of 1.87 and 2.14, respectively. Over their last five matches, each team has conceded an average of 2.0 goals, further supporting at least two goals in this game. The projected total of 3.0 goals also points towards a higher-scoring outcome, but Over 2.5 has less support in the results to date: the line has been surpassed in 64% of Trans’s matches and 53% of Kuressaare’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for Kuressaare to lead at the break comes from the last five matches: the visitors were ahead at half-time twice, while Trans were trailing at the break as many as four times. Over this period, Kuressaare averaged 1.2 goals before half-time compared with Trans’s 0.4; Trans failed to win any of their five matches, while the visitors won two. Kuressaare could hold on to their lead, as Trans failed to score after half-time in 60% of their last five matches, although Kuressaare conceded an average of 1.0 goals in that period. Full-season data temper confidence in this pick: the hosts average 1.29 goals per match compared with the visitors’ 0.87, so a Trans turnaround remains a realistic scenario. Nevertheless, the clear difference in recent first-half performances and the visitors’ better results narrowly favour Kuressaare to lead at half-time and win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trans | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kuressaare is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Trans · 1.4 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kuressaare is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Trans · 1.1 goals / match - Kuressaare
Kuressaare is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.23 goals / match - Trans · 1.63 goals / match - Kuressaare
Trans scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trans
Over / Under - Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kuressaare is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Trans · 1.13 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trans
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Trans | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.03 | 3.12 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Trans 1 - 2 - 4 Kuressaare. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Trans vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 0:1 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Kuressaare?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Trans won 1, Kuressaare won 4 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Kuressaare?
Trans score 0.80 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.10. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Trans's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Trans and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Trans have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Kuressaare 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Kuressaare?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trans vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.