Estonia - MeistriliigaKreenholmi StaadionData current as of 13 August 2026

Trans vs Paide: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Trans vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Trans play Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion.

Current form

Trans: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Trans scores 0.77 and concedes 2.27 goals per match. Paide scores 1.57 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Trans 41%, Paide 67%. Over 2.5: Trans 73%, Paide 52%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Paide has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.48. Trans: 12.4 shots per match, Paide: 14.1.

Match halves

Trans: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.32. Paide: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.81.

Goals by minute

Trans: 31-45+ (5 goals). Paide: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-3. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 17%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.21)
(3.80)
(1.67)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.77Goals scored / match1.57
TransPaide
2.27Goals conceded / match1.33
TransPaide
44%Average possession55%
TransPaide
3.5Shots on target / match4.38
TransPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.45Shots per match14.05
TransPaide
3.5Shots on target4.38
TransPaide
6.2%Shot conversion11.2%
TransPaide
44%Possession55%
TransPaide
1.48xG for1.68
TransPaide
1.73xG against1.57
TransPaide

Shooting quality

Trans: BalancedPaide: Dominant
TransPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)28%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Trans · 2 pts / match - Paide

Trans
LLWWL
Season result split
23% W5% R73% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-16
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Paide
WDWLW
Season result split
48% W24% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 104% better for: goals scored per match.

0.77 goals / match - Trans · 1.57 goals / match - Paide

Paide is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.27 goals / match - Trans · 1.33 goals / match - Paide

Trans scoring profile: strong

Trans scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

17Goals scored (season)33
TransPaide
50Goals conceded (season)28
TransPaide
3.05Average goals in match2.9
TransPaide
6Goals scored (last 5)9
TransPaide
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
TransPaide

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal90%
TransPaide
18%2 goals43%
TransPaide
9%3 goals19%
TransPaide
0%4 goals5%
TransPaide

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal76%
TransPaide
64%2 goals33%
TransPaide
36%3 goals14%
TransPaide
14%4 goals5%
TransPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
TransPaide
0%BTTS in both halves10%
TransPaide
14%Scored in both halves38%
TransPaide

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
TransPaide
32%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransPaide
60%BTTS - last 580%
TransPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
TransPaide
59%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
TransPaide
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
TransPaide

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
TransPaide
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
TransPaide
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
TransPaide

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Trans · 1.52 pts / match - Paide

Trans - half-time state
18% leading27% draw55% trailing
Paide - half-time state
33% leading52% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.52
TransPaide
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.76
TransPaide
1.09Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
TransPaide
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.38
TransPaide
36%Clean sheet before half-time67%
TransPaide
68%No goal before half-time43%
TransPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

0.73Points per match (2nd half)1.57
TransPaide
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
TransPaide
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
TransPaide
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.52
TransPaide
23%Clean sheet after half-time48%
TransPaide
68%No goal after half-time29%
TransPaide

Trans - second-half results

18% W18% R64% P
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - second-half results

43% W29% R29% P
32
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Trans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.21.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Trans
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
4
7
16-30
5
12
31-45
0
5
46-60
2
7
61-75
5
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
5
6
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
43%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TransLigaPaide
Average goals in match 3.053.11 2.90
Both teams scored 41%58% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%65% 52%
Clean sheets 14%23% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%75% 62%
Goal after half-time 95%89% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Trans 3 - 0 - 3 Paide. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 17% matches.

Trans
1 : 0
Paide
Paide
1 : 0
Trans
JK Narva Trans
2 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 1
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

When do Trans and Paide play?

Trans face Paide on 16 August 2026 in Meistriliiga at Kreenholmi Staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Paide?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Trans won 3, Paide won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Paide?

Trans score 0.77 goals per game on average and Paide 1.57. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Trans's matches and 67% of Paide's.

What form are Trans and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Trans have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Paide?

The statistical background for Trans vs Paide — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.