Trans vs Tammeka: match statistics

Tammeka sit 5th, while Trans are 10th, and the difference in current form is clear: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 23 goals in that run, compared with Trans’s 2 wins and 11 goals. The away side also create more chances on the road, averaging 17.5 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match versus 13.75 and 3.83 for the hosts; the xG advantage stands at 1.94 to 1.60. Trans regularly struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.67 goals at home and keeping a clean sheet in only 17% of matches, while they have already conceded 55 goals this season. Tammeka are also defensively inconsistent away from home, conceding 2 goals on average, so the hosts have a realistic chance of finding the net; however, the visitors’ attacking trend points to an away win.

The scenario in which both teams score is slightly more likely, as Tammeka have scored as many as 4.6 goals per match over their last 5 games, with an xG of 2.69. Trans averaged 2.2 goals during this period, and their attacking potential of 1.36 xG should create chances against an opponent conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game this season. The hosts have also allowed an average of 1.6 goals across their last five outings, while Tammeka register 5.8 shots on target per match, making a goal for the visitors look very realistic. The low BTTS percentage in the last five matches increases the risk of this pick—40% for Trans and only 20% for Tammeka—but the current attacking strength of both teams marginally favors BTTS - Yes.

Tammeka have scored an impressive average of 4.6 goals across their last five matches, with an average xG of 2.69 during that period and just 1.08 xG conceded to opponents. Trans average 1.18 goals scored at home, while Tammeka concede an average of 2.00 goals away from home, giving the hosts a realistic chance of scoring. The visitors average 17.5 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match, significantly more than Trans’ 10.91 and 3.91 respectively, so they should generate a large share of the expected 2.95 goals. At least two goals were scored in 45% of Trans’ matches and 60% of Tammeka’s, while the league average of 3.09 goals further supports a high-scoring game. Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest pick, as it combines the high consistency of at least one goal from either team—73% and 70% respectively—with the visitors’ strong current attacking form.

Tammeka are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 4.6 goals, while Trans have won 2 games and conceded an average of 1.6 goals. The visitors have also created more chances over the course of the season, recording an xG of 1.94 compared with Trans’s 1.33, while averaging 17.5 shots and 5.8 on target per match, against the hosts’ respective figures of 10.91 and 3.91. Tammeka’s advantage could already be visible before half-time, as Trans were trailing at the break in 27% of their matches, while the visitors scored an average of 2.0 first-half goals in their last five appearances. The strongest signal, however, comes from the closing stages: Tammeka won the second half in 80% of their last five matches, scored an average of 2.6 goals after the break and conceded none during that period, supporting an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and go on to win.