UPDF vs BUL: match statistics
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UPDF vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF play BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Bombo Stadium.
Current form
UPDF: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. BUL: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. BUL scores 2.75 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 25%, BUL 75%. Over 2.5: UPDF 25%, BUL 75%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
BUL has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.25. UPDF: 6.8 shots per match, BUL: 13.5.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00. BUL: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 16-30 (1 goals). BUL: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BUL is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - UPDF · 3 pts / match - BUL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 450% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - UPDF · 2.75 goals / match - BUL
UPDF is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - UPDF · 0.75 goals / match - BUL
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
BUL scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UPDF
Over / Under - BUL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - UPDF · 2.5 pts / match - BUL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BUL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
BUL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | BUL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 2.05 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 25% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): UPDF 1 - 0 - 1 BUL. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do UPDF and BUL play?
UPDF face BUL on 18 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Bombo Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between UPDF and BUL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches UPDF won 1, BUL won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs BUL?
UPDF score 0.50 goals per game on average and BUL 2.75. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 25% of UPDF's matches and 75% of BUL's.
What form are UPDF and BUL in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and BUL 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs BUL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UPDF vs BUL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.