Valur vs Thór: match statistics
Valur vs Thór: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valur played Thór in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Origovöllurinn. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Valur: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Thór: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valur scores 1.77 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Thór scores 1.00 and concedes 2.27. League average: 3.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valur 73%, Thór 50%. Over 2.5: Valur 73%, Thór 55%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Valur has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.24. Valur: 15.4 shots per match, Thór: 11.4.
Match halves
Valur: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91. Thór: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Valur: 76-90+ (12 goals). Thór: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.86 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valur have a clear edge in chance creation at home, averaging 17.27 shots and 6.18 shots on target per match, compared with Thór’s away figures of just 10.91 shots and 3.18 on target. The hosts score 2.00 goals per home game and have failed to find the net in none of their matches, while the visitors average only 0.82 goals away from home and draw a blank in 45% of such fixtures. The difference is also reflected in the quality of chances created: Valur’s average xG stands at 1.99, compared with 1.19 for Thór. Both defences are vulnerable, with Valur conceding 2.45 goals per home match and Thór 2.73 away, but the visitors have lost as many as 64% of their away games. Although Valur have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, Thór’s poor finishing and -21 goal difference away from home support a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Valur’s season BTTS rate stands at 55%, while Thór’s is only 45%, and the visitors have failed to score in as many as 45% of their matches. Thór’s current form is particularly significant: BTTS - Yes occurred in just 20% of their last 5 games, with the team averaging only 0.8 goals scored. Valur have conceded heavily recently, averaging 2.8 goals per match and allowing opponents 2.58 xG, yet Thór’s attack generated only 1.37 xG during this period. The hosts should be able to exploit the visitors’ vulnerable defence, which concedes 2.73 goals per game over the season, but the greater risk is that Thór fail to find the net. Therefore, BTTS - No is marginally more likely, meaning that at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Valur should create good scoring opportunities, as Thór concede an average of 2.73 goals per match and their average xG against is as high as 2.27. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 1.6 goals and conceded 2.8, with at least 3 goals scored in 80% of those games. Thór score just 0.82 goals per match this season, but Valur’s defence concedes an average of 1.82 goals, meaning the visitors also have a realistic route to finding the net. The Over 1.5 goals line offers the greatest edge: it has landed in 64% of Valur’s matches and 73% of Thór’s, against a high league average of 3.86 goals per game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Valur has a clearer first-half profile: they led at the break in 27% of matches, compared with just 9% for Thór, while the visitors went into half-time trailing in as many as 73% of their games. The hosts average 0.45 goals before the break, whereas Thór concede as many as 1.36 goals per match during this period, reinforcing the scenario of an early Valur lead. Across the season, Valur win 36% of their matches compared with Thór’s 18%, while the away side allow opponents to score an average of 2.73 goals per game. Valur’s attack also records slightly higher average xG, 1.29 versus 1.19, while Thór’s defence is considerably weaker, with 2.27 xG against. The main risk lies in the hosts’ defence, which concedes an average of 1.82 goals, but Valur’s advantage in the opening phase and Thór’s poor away form make the HT/FT lead for the hosts and their eventual win the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valur | Thór | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valur is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Valur · 1.2 pts / match - Thór
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Valur · 1 goals / match - Thór
Valur is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Valur · 2.27 goals / match - Thór
Valur scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Thór scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valur
Over / Under - Thór
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Valur · 0.82 pts / match - Thór
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Thór - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valur
Thór
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Valur | Liga | Thór | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.82 | 3.86 | ▼ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 16% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Valur 1 - 0 - 1 Thór. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Valur vs Thór?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Valur 4:1 Thór. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Valur and Thór?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Valur won 1, Thór won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Valur vs Thór?
Valur score 1.77 goals per game on average and Thór 1.00. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Valur's matches and 50% of Thór's.
What form are Valur and Thór in?
Over the last 5 games Valur have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Thór 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valur vs Thór?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Valur vs Thór: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.