Vaprus vs Paide: match statistics
Vaprus vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus played Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Vaprus: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Paide: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.32 and concedes 2.03 goals per match. Paide scores 1.56 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 68%, Paide 62%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 65%, Paide 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.26. Vaprus: 9.7 shots per match, Paide: 14.3.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68. Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 46-60 (9 goals). Paide: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-5. Average goals 2.71, BTTS 43%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paide, second in the table, have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while ninth-placed Vaprus have failed to win during that period and have suffered 3 defeats. The visitors scored 8 goals and conceded 4 in those matches, whereas the hosts conceded as many as 13 despite scoring the same number. Away from home, Paide average 14.53 shots per match compared with Vaprus’ 9.94 at home, and their xG stands at 1.76 against the hosts’ 1.30, pointing to a greater volume and quality of chances. Vaprus average 1.69 goals at home, so they can pose a threat, but they also concede the same number, while Paide score an average of 1.71 goals away. The visitors’ stronger recent form and greater chance-creation potential point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 56% of Vaprus matches and 71% of Paide matches, rising to 80% and 60%, respectively, across their last 5 outings, pointing to goals at both ends. The teams average 1.50 and 1.71 goals per match, while their average xG figures are almost identical at 1.75 and 1.76. Vaprus’s chances of scoring are boosted by the fact that Paide have kept a clean sheet in only 18% of matches, despite conceding an average of just 0.8 goals in their last 5 games. Vaprus, meanwhile, have conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches—2.6 per game—which, combined with Paide’s average of 1.6 goals scored over that period, clearly supports an away goal. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is more likely than BTTS - No, which means at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was reached in 69% of Vaprus matches and 76% of Paide matches. Both teams average at least 1.5 goals per match, and their average xG figures are almost identical at 1.75 and 1.76, respectively, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends. In their last 5 matches, Vaprus conceded an average of 2.6 goals, while Paide allowed just 0.8 goals per match over the same period. Therefore, 3 goals are a realistic scenario, but the 2.5 line is less certain: it was exceeded in 50% of Vaprus matches and 53% of Paide matches across the season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Paide have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Vaprus have failed to win any and have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game. The visitors were leading at the break in 3 of those 5 matches, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in 2; additionally, Paide have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before the break, compared with 0.8 for Vaprus. After half-time, the hosts have recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals, increasing Paide’s chances of protecting any lead they may establish. The risk to this HT/FT pick is Vaprus’s season-long home record, having won 63% of their matches there. However, given the clear gap in current form, the scenario of the visitors leading at the break and going on to win remains the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.8 pts / match - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.56 goals / match - Paide
Paide is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.03 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.21 goals / match - Paide
Vaprus scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Paide scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Paide
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.53 pts / match - Paide
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Vaprus 2 - 0 - 5 Paide. Average goals 2.71, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 0:1 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Paide?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 2, Paide won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Paide?
Vaprus score 1.32 goals per game on average and Paide 1.56. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Vaprus's matches and 62% of Paide's.
What form are Vaprus and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Paide 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vaprus vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.