Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite for this meeting, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The visiting team presents a significant advantage in away matches, where they win 55% of games, scoring an average of 1.82 goals while conceding just 0.82, resulting in a positive goal difference of +11. Varaždin, despite decent home form (50% wins), lags in quality, which is visible in possession (48% vs 55%) and the xG coefficient (1.62 vs 1.86). Dinamo also maintains 55% clean sheets on the road, evidencing a solid defense. The recent form of both teams is somewhat variable, but the class and statistical advantage of the league champion speak for a victory for the visitors. The difference in league position (1st place vs 4th place) and Dinamo Zagreb's overall effectiveness (48 goals in the season) further support the prediction of a win for the away team.
Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin played Dinamo Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Varaždin: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Dinamo Zagreb: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.32 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.18 and concedes 0.77. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 64%, Dinamo Zagreb 50%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 55%, Dinamo Zagreb 64%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.42. Varaždin: 12.2 shots per match, Dinamo Zagreb: 16.3.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.59. Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 31-45+ (6 goals). Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite for this meeting, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The visiting team presents a significant advantage in away matches, where they win 55% of games, scoring an average of 1.82 goals while conceding just 0.82, resulting in a positive goal difference of +11. Varaždin, despite decent home form (50% wins), lags in quality, which is visible in possession (48% vs 55%) and the xG coefficient (1.62 vs 1.86). Dinamo also maintains 55% clean sheets on the road, evidencing a solid defense. The recent form of both teams is somewhat variable, but the class and statistical advantage of the league champion speak for a victory for the visitors. The difference in league position (1st place vs 4th place) and Dinamo Zagreb's overall effectiveness (48 goals in the season) further support the prediction of a win for the away team.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Varaždin · 2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Varaždin · 2.18 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Varaždin · 0.77 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Varaždin scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Varaždin · 2.23 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Dinamo Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 24% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | • 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Varaždin 0 - 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 0:4 Dinamo Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Dinamo Zagreb?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 0, Dinamo Zagreb won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Varaždin score 1.32 goals per game on average and Dinamo Zagreb 2.18. The Prva HNL average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Varaždin's matches and 50% of Dinamo Zagreb's.
What form are Varaždin and Dinamo Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The statistical background for Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.