Hungary - NB IVárkert SportpályaData current as of 30 August 2026

Várda SE vs ETO: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Várda SE vs ETO: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Várda SE play ETO in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Várkert Sportpálya.

Current form

Várda SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. ETO: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Várda SE scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. ETO scores 2.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Várda SE 60%, ETO 50%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 40%, ETO 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Várda SE has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.22. Várda SE: 10.6 shots per match, ETO: 9.3.

Match halves

Várda SE: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. ETO: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.75.

Goals by minute

Várda SE: 76-90+ (2 goals). ETO: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.50)
(1.94)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.2Goals scored / match2.5
Várda SEETO
1.4Goals conceded / match0.75
Várda SEETO
42%Average possession51%
Várda SEETO
3.2Shots on target / match4.25
Várda SEETO

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.6Shots per match9.25
Várda SEETO
3.2Shots on target4.25
Várda SEETO
11.3%Shot conversion27%
Várda SEETO
42%Possession51%
Várda SEETO
1.23xG for1.22
Várda SEETO
1.68xG against1.79
Várda SEETO

Shooting quality

Várda SE: BalancedETO: Efficient finishing
Várda SEETO
Accuracy (shots on target)30%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.59

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

ETO is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Várda SE · 2 pts / match - ETO

Várda SE
DWLLD
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
ETO
DWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 75%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

ETO is 108% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Várda SE · 2.5 goals / match - ETO

ETO is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Várda SE · 0.75 goals / match - ETO

Várda SE scoring profile: strong

Várda SE scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while ETO keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

ETO scoring profile: very strong

ETO scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

6Goals scored (season)10
Várda SEETO
7Goals conceded (season)3
Várda SEETO
2.6Average goals in match3.25
Várda SEETO
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Várda SEETO
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
Várda SEETO

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal100%
Várda SEETO
40%2 goals75%
Várda SEETO
0%3 goals50%
Várda SEETO
0%4 goals25%
Várda SEETO

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal50%
Várda SEETO
40%2 goals25%
Várda SEETO
20%3 goals0%
Várda SEETO
20%4 goals0%
Várda SEETO

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Várda SEETO
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Várda SEETO
40%Scored in both halves50%
Várda SEETO

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Várda SEETO
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
Várda SEETO
60%BTTS - last 550%
Várda SEETO

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Várda SEETO
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Várda SEETO
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Várda SEETO

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Várda SEETO
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
Várda SEETO
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Várda SEETO

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

ETO is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Várda SE · 2.5 pts / match - ETO

Várda SE - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
ETO - half-time state
75% leading25% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2.5
Várda SEETO
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Várda SEETO
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0
Várda SEETO
1Average goals (1st half)0.75
Várda SEETO
60%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Várda SEETO
60%No goal before half-time25%
Várda SEETO

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.75
Várda SEETO
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1.75
Várda SEETO
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Várda SEETO
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2.5
Várda SEETO
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Várda SEETO
20%No goal after half-time25%
Várda SEETO

Várda SE - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

ETO - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Várda SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
ETO - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.501.75
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.82.5
1 goal75%100%
2 goals0%75%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 75% leading - 25% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Várda SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

ETO
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Várda SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

ETO

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
200%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
39%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Várda SELigaETO
Average goals in match 2.603.19 3.25
Both teams scored 60%59% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%59% 75%
Clean sheets 40%23% 50%
Goal before half-time 60%72% 75%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.94
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+55%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Várda SE 1 - 0 - 2 ETO. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Várda SE and ETO play?

Várda SE face ETO on 30 August 2026 in NB I at Várkert Sportpálya. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and ETO?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, ETO won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs ETO?

Várda SE score 1.20 goals per game on average and ETO 2.50. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Várda SE's matches and 50% of ETO's.

What form are Várda SE and ETO in?

Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and ETO 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs ETO?

The statistical background for Várda SE vs ETO — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.