Portugal - Liga 3Estádio do Varzim Sport ClubData current as of 21 October 2026

Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II: match statistics

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Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Varzim play Vitória Guimarães II in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estádio do Varzim Sport Club.

Current form

Varzim: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vitória Guimarães II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Varzim scores 1.50 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães II scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Varzim 67%, Vitória Guimarães II 33%. Over 2.5: Varzim 67%, Vitória Guimarães II 17%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Vitória Guimarães II has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.31. Varzim: 9.3 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães II: 12.5.

Match halves

Varzim: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 0.33. Vitória Guimarães II: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Varzim: 0-15 (3 goals). Vitória Guimarães II: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.5Goals scored / match0.67
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.17Goals conceded / match1
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
51%Average possession57%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
4.17Shots on target / match4.5
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match12.5
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
4.17Shots on target4.5
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
16.1%Shot conversion5.3%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
51%Possession57%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.31xG for1.6
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.44xG against1.21
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

Shooting quality

Varzim: Efficient finishingVitória Guimarães II: Balanced
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
Accuracy (shots on target)45%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Varzim is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Varzim · 1 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II

Varzim
WWLLL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Vitória Guimarães II
WDDLL
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Varzim is 124% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Varzim · 0.67 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II

Vitória Guimarães II is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Varzim · 1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II

Varzim scoring profile: very strong

Varzim scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Vitória Guimarães II keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Vitória Guimarães II scoring profile: strong

Vitória Guimarães II scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

9Goals scored (season)4
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
7Goals conceded (season)6
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
2.67Average goals in match1.67
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
8Goals scored (last 5)3
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal50%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
33%2 goals17%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
17%3 goals0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
17%4 goals0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
33%2 goals17%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0%3 goals17%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0%4 goals0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Vitória Guimarães II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 6 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
17%Scored in both halves0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
80%BTTS - last 520%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Varzim is 273% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.5 pts / match - Varzim · 0.67 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II

Varzim - half-time state
83% leading0% draw17% trailing
Vitória Guimarães II - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.5Points per match (1st half)0.67
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.17
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.5Average goals (1st half)0.83
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
17%No goal before half-time83%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1.17
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
1.17Average goals (2nd half)0.83
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
50%Clean sheet after half-time67%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II
83%No goal after half-time67%
VarzimVitória Guimarães II

Varzim - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitória Guimarães II - second-half results

17% W67% D17% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Varzim - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.80
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Vitória Guimarães II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Varzim
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Vitória Guimarães II
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Varzim

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Vitória Guimarães II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.93
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

VarzimLigaVitória Guimarães II
Average goals in match▲ 2.672.48▼ 1.67
Both teams scored▲ 67%48%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%48%▼ 17%
Clean sheets▼ 17%32%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%68%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%70%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Varzim 1 - 2 - 1 Vitória Guimarães II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II play?

Varzim face Vitória Guimarães II on 25 October 2026 in Liga 3 at Estádio do Varzim Sport Club. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Varzim won 1, Vitória Guimarães II won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?

Varzim score 1.50 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães II 0.67. The Liga 3 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Varzim's matches and 33% of Vitória Guimarães II's.

What form are Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II in?

Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?

The statistical background for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.