VPS vs Gnistan: match statistics
VPS vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
VPS played Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
VPS: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Gnistan: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
VPS scores 1.15 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Gnistan scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: VPS 46%, Gnistan 58%. Over 2.5: VPS 38%, Gnistan 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Gnistan has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.43. VPS: 11.9 shots per match, Gnistan: 13.4.
Match halves
VPS: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.50. Gnistan: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
VPS: 0-15 (7 goals). Gnistan: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
VPS have a slight home advantage: they have won 46% of their home matches, while Gnistan have won 42% of their away games. The hosts create chances at home with an average xG of 1.45, while the visitors allow chances worth 1.65 xG away from home. This gives VPS an opportunity to end their recent lack of cutting edge, having scored just 2 goals in 5 matches. However, Gnistan sit 4th compared with VPS in 6th and have not lost any of their last 5 matches, so the hosts’ advantage is modest. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as 4 of Gnistan’s last 5 matches ended level, and 33% of their away games have been drawn. VPS’s slightly higher number of shots on target at home, 4.31 compared with Gnistan’s 3.67 away, tips the forecast in the hosts’ favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Over the course of the season, both teams have often featured in matches with goals at both ends: VPS in 57% and Gnistan in 58% of their games. VPS’s recent form clearly weakens this signal, however—the hosts have scored just 2 goals in 5 matches, with no goals from both teams in any of them. Gnistan have conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match over this period, so a VPS scoring breakthrough is far from certain, although the hosts’ average xG of 1.19 suggests they have created more chances than the results indicate. The visitors have scored an average of 1.0 goals recently and both teams have scored in 4 of their 5 matches, making the case for BTTS - No only marginal. The most likely reason BTTS fails is that VPS do not score, rather than the match ending 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
VPS average 1.64 goals per game this season, while Gnistan average 1.42, but over their last five matches those figures have fallen to 0.4 and 1.0 goals per game, respectively. During the same period, VPS matches have not gone over 2.5 goals once, while Gnistan matches have done so in just 20% of cases. Across the full season, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 64% of VPS matches and 83% of Gnistan matches, supporting this line. Although Over 1.5 goals has been frequent—in 79% and 83% of their matches, respectively—both teams’ recent scoring form points against a high-scoring game. With a projected total of 2.43 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a level score at half-time: Gnistan went into the break level in 4 of its last 5 matches, while VPS were level at half-time in 50% of their matches this season. Over their last five matches, the visitors averaged just 0.2 goals before the break, further reducing the likelihood of them taking an early lead. A draw after 90 minutes also looks plausible, as Gnistan have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game over that period. The main risk to this pick is VPS’s advantage in second halves across the season: the visitors averaged 1.0 goal and won 50% of those halves, although they failed to score after the break in any of their last five matches. Therefore, X/X is the most likely single HT/FT scenario, but its edge over X/1 and X/2 remains moderate.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gnistan is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - VPS · 1.4 pts / match - Gnistan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - VPS · 1.54 goals / match - Gnistan
VPS scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Gnistan scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - Gnistan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
VPS
Gnistan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.35 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 43% | • 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 73% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- GnistanYellow cardNoah Rossi
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): VPS 0 - 4 - 0 Gnistan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs Gnistan?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:0 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Gnistan?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches VPS won 0, Gnistan won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Gnistan?
VPS score 1.15 goals per game on average and Gnistan 1.54. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 46% of VPS's matches and 58% of Gnistan's.
What form are VPS and Gnistan in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gnistan 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Gnistan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.