VPS vs HJK: match statistics
VPS vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
VPS played HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 2 November 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
VPS: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. HJK: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
VPS scores 1.03 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. HJK scores 1.97 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: VPS 40%, HJK 47%. Over 2.5: VPS 33%, HJK 63%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
HJK has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.40. VPS: 11.6 shots per match, HJK: 14.0.
Match halves
VPS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.43. HJK: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
VPS: 31-45+ (8 goals). HJK: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-4. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK come into the match in significantly better form: they have picked up 11 points and scored 17 goals in their last 5 matches, while VPS have managed 4 points and just one goal. The visitors also have greater attacking strength away from home, averaging 1.64 goals with an xG of 1.63; VPS average 1.33 goals and an xG of 1.39 at home. The hosts’ defensive record on home soil remains an advantage, as they concede an average of 0.93 goals, compared with 1.21 goals conceded by HJK away from home. However, VPS’s 9 goals conceded in their last 5 matches and HJK’s unbeaten run over that period tip the prediction in the visitors’ favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from VPS’s last 5 matches: the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals and did not record a single game in which both sides found the net. Over the same period, HJK averaged 3.4 goals, while VPS conceded 1.8, making an away goal seem more likely than a home goal. VPS’s season figures nevertheless call for caution: they averaged 2.13 goals at home, and HJK kept a clean sheet in only 29% of their matches. Despite this counterargument, I’m backing BTTS - No, as the clear gap in recent attacking form and VPS’s 47% home clean-sheet rate suggest that at least one team may fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 73% of VPS matches and 79% of HJK matches, providing a strong basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. HJK averaged 3.4 goals scored across their last 5 matches, while VPS conceded 1.8, so the visitors could cover this line largely on their own. The hosts’ weaker attacking form, with just 0.2 goals per match over this period, tempers confidence in higher goal lines. Even so, the teams’ season xG figures are similar at 1.62 and 1.63, respectively, supporting a forecast of around 2.97 total goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5 goals, which I rate at 57%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Although VPS have won 60% of their matches this season, compared with HJK’s 43%, the last five games clearly favour the visitors: they have averaged 3.4 goals, while the hosts have managed just 0.2. A draw at half-time is more likely than an HJK lead at the break, as the visitors were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and led in the other 2. VPS also went into the break level in 2 of their last 5 games, but scored an average of just 0.2 goals before half-time over that period. HJK’s advantage after the break could prove decisive: the visitors have averaged 2.2 goals in the second half across their last five matches, while VPS have not scored at all. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by an HJK win is the strongest signal, although VPS’s season-long results warrant caution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | HJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HJK is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - VPS · 2.6 pts / match - HJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - VPS · 1.97 goals / match - HJK
VPS is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - VPS · 1.2 goals / match - HJK
VPS scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
HJK scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - HJK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - VPS · 1.63 pts / match - HJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
VPS
HJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | HJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.54 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): VPS 1 - 0 - 4 HJK. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs HJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 0:4 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and HJK?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches VPS won 1, HJK won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs HJK?
VPS score 1.03 goals per game on average and HJK 1.97. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of VPS's matches and 47% of HJK's.
What form are VPS and HJK in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and HJK 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs HJK?
The statistical background for VPS vs HJK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


