Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of 03 November 2026

VPS vs HJK: match statistics

VPS crest
VPS
0 : 4half-time 0:3
HJK crest
HJK

VPS vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

VPS played HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 2 November 2026. Final score: 0:4.

Current form

VPS: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. HJK: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

VPS scores 1.03 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. HJK scores 1.97 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: VPS 40%, HJK 47%. Over 2.5: VPS 33%, HJK 63%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.40. VPS: 11.6 shots per match, HJK: 14.0.

Match halves

VPS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.43. HJK: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

VPS: 31-45+ (8 goals). HJK: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-4. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 60%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

HJK come into the match in significantly better form: they have picked up 11 points and scored 17 goals in their last 5 matches, while VPS have managed 4 points and just one goal. The visitors also have greater attacking strength away from home, averaging 1.64 goals with an xG of 1.63; VPS average 1.33 goals and an xG of 1.39 at home. The hosts’ defensive record on home soil remains an advantage, as they concede an average of 0.93 goals, compared with 1.21 goals conceded by HJK away from home. However, VPS’s 9 goals conceded in their last 5 matches and HJK’s unbeaten run over that period tip the prediction in the visitors’ favour.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from VPS’s last 5 matches: the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals and did not record a single game in which both sides found the net. Over the same period, HJK averaged 3.4 goals, while VPS conceded 1.8, making an away goal seem more likely than a home goal. VPS’s season figures nevertheless call for caution: they averaged 2.13 goals at home, and HJK kept a clean sheet in only 29% of their matches. Despite this counterargument, I’m backing BTTS - No, as the clear gap in recent attacking form and VPS’s 47% home clean-sheet rate suggest that at least one team may fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

At least 2 goals were scored in 73% of VPS matches and 79% of HJK matches, providing a strong basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. HJK averaged 3.4 goals scored across their last 5 matches, while VPS conceded 1.8, so the visitors could cover this line largely on their own. The hosts’ weaker attacking form, with just 0.2 goals per match over this period, tempers confidence in higher goal lines. Even so, the teams’ season xG figures are similar at 1.62 and 1.63, respectively, supporting a forecast of around 2.97 total goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5 goals, which I rate at 57%.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Although VPS have won 60% of their matches this season, compared with HJK’s 43%, the last five games clearly favour the visitors: they have averaged 3.4 goals, while the hosts have managed just 0.2. A draw at half-time is more likely than an HJK lead at the break, as the visitors were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and led in the other 2. VPS also went into the break level in 2 of their last 5 games, but scored an average of just 0.2 goals before half-time over that period. HJK’s advantage after the break could prove decisive: the visitors have averaged 2.2 goals in the second half across their last five matches, while VPS have not scored at all. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by an HJK win is the strongest signal, although VPS’s season-long results warrant caution.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
VPSHJK
5Shots18
VPSHJK
3Shots on target4
VPSHJK
0.92xG1.76
VPSHJK
2Corners5
VPSHJK
52Dangerous attacks48
VPSHJK
9Fouls5
VPSHJK
2Cards1
VPSHJK

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.03Goals scored / match1.97
VPSHJK
1.13Goals conceded / match1.2
VPSHJK
48%Average possession54%
VPSHJK
4.03Shots on target / match5
VPSHJK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.63Shots per match13.97
VPSHJK
4.03Shots on target5
VPSHJK
8.9%Shot conversion14.1%
VPSHJK
48%Possession54%
VPSHJK
1.4xG for1.63
VPSHJK
1.35xG against1.36
VPSHJK

Shooting quality

VPS: BalancedHJK: Efficient finishing
VPSHJK
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HJK is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - VPS · 2.6 pts / match - HJK

VPS
LWLLD
Season result split
37% W23% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-12
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
HJK
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W23% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-7
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-4
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 91% better for: goals scored per match.

1.03 goals / match - VPS · 1.97 goals / match - HJK

VPS is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - VPS · 1.2 goals / match - HJK

VPS scoring profile: mixed

VPS scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).

HJK scoring profile: very strong

HJK scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).

31Goals scored (season)59
VPSHJK
34Goals conceded (season)36
VPSHJK
2.17Average goals in match3.17
VPSHJK
1Goals scored (last 5)20
VPSHJK
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
VPSHJK

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
VPSHJK
20%2 goals53%
VPSHJK
13%3 goals33%
VPSHJK
7%4 goals20%
VPSHJK

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal63%
VPSHJK
23%2 goals37%
VPSHJK
10%3 goals17%
VPSHJK
3%4 goals3%
VPSHJK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time20%
VPSHJK
0%BTTS in both halves10%
VPSHJK
10%Scored in both halves37%
VPSHJK

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
VPSHJK
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
VPSHJK
0%BTTS - last 560%
VPSHJK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
VPSHJK
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
VPSHJK
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
VPSHJK

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
VPSHJK
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
VPSHJK
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
VPSHJK

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - VPS · 1.63 pts / match - HJK

VPS - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
HJK - half-time state
43% leading33% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.63
VPSHJK
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.8
VPSHJK
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
VPSHJK
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.23
VPSHJK
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
VPSHJK
60%No goal before half-time40%
VPSHJK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.63
VPSHJK
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
VPSHJK
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
VPSHJK
0.87Average goals (2nd half)1.93
VPSHJK
67%Clean sheet after half-time57%
VPSHJK
70%No goal after half-time43%
VPSHJK

VPS - second-half results

23% W50% D27% L
40
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HJK - second-half results

43% W33% D23% L
49
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

VPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.42.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.63.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals40%100%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+6+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

VPS
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
8
9
31-45
3
2
46-60
6
8
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

HJK
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
9
5
16-30
11
5
31-45
11
10
46-60
14
7
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

VPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
181%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

VPSLigaHJK
Average goals in match▼ 2.172.54▲ 3.17
Both teams scored▼ 40%48%• 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%44%▲ 63%
Clean sheets• 30%30%▲ 37%
Goal before half-time• 73%72%▲ 77%
Goal after half-time▼ 57%73%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. VPSYellow cardMamadou Wurie Jalloh
  2. VPSSubstitutionOn: Henri SalomaaOff: Xavier Odhiambo
  3. HJKSubstitutionOn: Martin KirilovOff: Santeri Haarala
  4. HJKSubstitutionOn: Liam MöllerOff: Mads Borchers
  5. VPSSubstitutionOn: Arnold Adu-BoahenOff: Simon Lindholm
  6. HJKYellow cardLucas Lingman

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): VPS 1 - 0 - 4 HJK. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.

HJK
6 : 0
VPS
HJK
2 : 1
VPS
VPS
2 : 1
HJK
Vaasan Palloseura
0 : 2
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
3 : 1
Vaasan Palloseura

FAQ

What was the result of VPS vs HJK?

The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 0:4 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between VPS and HJK?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches VPS won 1, HJK won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs HJK?

VPS score 1.03 goals per game on average and HJK 1.97. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of VPS's matches and 47% of HJK's.

What form are VPS and HJK in?

Over the last 5 games VPS have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and HJK 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs HJK?

The statistical background for VPS vs HJK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.