Welayta Dicha vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
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Welayta Dicha vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welayta Dicha play Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Wolaita Soddo Stadium.
Current form
Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welayta Dicha 45%, Negele Arsi Ketema 37%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 26%, Negele Arsi Ketema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.14. Welayta Dicha: 8.6 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Welayta Dicha
Over / Under — Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welayta Dicha
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welayta Dicha 0 - 1 - 0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Welayta Dicha and Negele Arsi Ketema play?
Welayta Dicha face Negele Arsi Ketema on 4 June 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League at Wolaita Soddo Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Welayta Dicha score 0.97 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.97. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The statistical background for Welayta Dicha vs Negele Arsi Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.