Zira vs Qarabağ: match statistics
Zira vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zira played Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Zirə qəsəbə stadionu. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Zira: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zira scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zira 25%, Qarabağ 67%. Over 2.5: Zira 50%, Qarabağ 67%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.47 vs 1.53. Zira: 10.5 shots per match, Qarabağ: 17.7.
Match halves
Zira: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.75. Qarabağ: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Zira: 31-45+ (3 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zira are exceptionally strong at home: they have won all 3 matches, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding just 0.33 per game, while keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their appearances. The hosts average 62% possession, register 6 shots on target per match, and have an xG of 1.59 compared with their opponents’ xG of just 0.78. Qarabağ also won their only away match so far without conceding, but scored just 1 goal despite a higher xG of 1.98 and an average of as many as 15 shots. The visitors are in better overall form, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 9 goals scored, but Zira are significantly more clinical at home, with an 18% conversion rate compared with Qarabağ’s 7% away from home. I give the hosts a slight edge, although the visitors’ solid defence means a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Qarabağ have yet to concede in the seasonal data, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, while Zira, despite averaging 3.0 goals scored at home, have 0% of matches without conceding. The hosts should create chances, supported by their high xG of 2.72 and an average of 9.5 shots on target, but Qarabağ’s defensive profile is significantly stronger than Zira’s attacking form suggests. BTTS occurred in only 40% of Zira’s last five matches, while the league average for both teams to score is just 36%. Qarabağ are in good scoring form, averaging 1.8 goals across their last five appearances, so the most realistic BTTS No scenario is a Qarabağ win to nil rather than a goalless draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.70 goals is clearly above this line. In their last five matches, Zira scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 1.4, producing games with an average of 2.8 goals, while Qarabağ's corresponding matches averaged 3.2 goals. Their attacking potential is also supported by xG: Zira recently created chances worth 1.81 goals, while Qarabağ recorded 1.88, with the visitors allowing opponents 1.84 xG. The hosts' seasonal data is highly goal-oriented, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, but Qarabağ's away defense has kept a clean sheet so far, which is why Over 2.5 does not offer the same level of value. The 1.5 line remains the safer option, as both teams have scored at least one goal in 100% of their matches so far.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Qarabağ win at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches while winning 4 of those 5 games. Qarabağ have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before half-time and kept a clean sheet at the break in 80% of their last five appearances, limiting Zira’s chances of building an early lead. After the interval, the visitors score an average of 1.2 goals, while Zira manage just 0.6 in this phase, and the hosts concede an average of 0.8 goals after half-time. However, Zira have the higher average xG, 2.72 compared with Qarabağ’s 1.98, and record 9.5 shots on target per match versus Qarabağ’s 4.0, so the scenario in which the hosts lead at the break and go on to win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zira | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / match - Zira · 3 pts / match - Qarabağ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Zira · 2.33 goals / match - Qarabağ
Qarabağ is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Zira · 1 goals / match - Qarabağ
Zira scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Qarabağ scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Zira keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Zira
Over / Under - Qarabağ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zira
Qarabağ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Zira | Liga | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.54 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 42% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Zira 0 - 2 - 1 Qarabağ. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zira vs Qarabağ?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Zira 1:1 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zira and Qarabağ?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Zira won 0, Qarabağ won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zira vs Qarabağ?
Zira score 1.50 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Zira's matches and 67% of Qarabağ's.
What form are Zira and Qarabağ in?
Over the last 5 games Zira have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zira vs Qarabağ?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Zira vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.