Canada - Canadian Premier LeagueData current as of 15 October 2026

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Ottawa play Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Atlético Ottawa: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Forge FC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Ottawa scores 1.54 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Forge FC scores 1.77 and concedes 0.77. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Ottawa 62%, Forge FC 46%. Over 2.5: Atlético Ottawa 65%, Forge FC 46%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Forge FC has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.32. Atlético Ottawa: 11.7 shots per match, Forge FC: 14.7.

Match halves

Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.15. Forge FC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.19.

Goals by minute

Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (16 goals). Forge FC: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Canadian Premier League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 8 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-3. Average goals 2.63, BTTS 63%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.94)
(3.70)
(1.71)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.54Goals scored / match1.77
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.58Goals conceded / match0.77
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Average possession47%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
4.12Shots on target / match4.96
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.73Shots per match14.65
Atlético OttawaForge FC
4.12Shots on target4.96
Atlético OttawaForge FC
13.1%Shot conversion12.1%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Possession47%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.32xG for1.68
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.57xG against1.02
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Shooting quality

Atlético Ottawa: Efficient finishingForge FC: Counter-attacking
Atlético OttawaForge FC
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Ottawa
LLWWW
Season result split
50% W15% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-9
1.65 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Forge FC
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
62% W23% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-4
2.08 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forge FC is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.54 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.77 goals / match - Forge FC

Forge FC is 105% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.58 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 0.77 goals / match - Forge FC

Atlético Ottawa scoring profile: strong

Atlético Ottawa scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).

Forge FC scoring profile: very strong

Forge FC scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).

40Goals scored (season)46
Atlético OttawaForge FC
41Goals conceded (season)20
Atlético OttawaForge FC
3.12Average goals in match2.54
Atlético OttawaForge FC
6Goals scored (last 5)13
Atlético OttawaForge FC
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético OttawaForge FC

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal85%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
42%2 goals46%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
19%3 goals35%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
8%4 goals8%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal54%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
50%2 goals19%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
27%3 goals4%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
4%4 goals0%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
Atlético Ottawa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 26 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
15%Scored in both halves35%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
20%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forge FC is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.54 pts / match - Forge FC

Atlético Ottawa - half-time state
23% leading35% draw42% trailing
Forge FC - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.54
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0.77Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.88
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Clean sheet before half-time77%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
69%No goal before half-time58%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per match (2nd half)2.08
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.15Goals scored (2nd half)1.19
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.96Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Atlético OttawaForge FC
46%Clean sheet after half-time69%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
35%No goal after half-time23%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Atlético Ottawa - second-half results

46% W31% D23% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding217%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forge FC - second-half results

62% W23% D15% L
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding177%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Ottawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forge FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Ottawa
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
9
9
61-75
16
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.

Forge FC
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
9
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
9
3
46-60
9
3
61-75
13
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Ottawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Forge FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).

Teams vs league

Atlético OttawaLigaForge FC
Average goals in match• 3.123.13▼ 2.54
Both teams scored• 62%63%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 65%58%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▲ 23%20%▲ 46%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%67%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%83%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
32%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (8): Atlético Ottawa 2 - 3 - 3 Forge FC. Average goals 2.63, both teams scored in 63% matches.

Forge FC
3 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Forge FC
1 : 2
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 2
Atlético Ottawa

FAQ

When do Atlético Ottawa and Forge FC play?

Atlético Ottawa face Forge FC on 17 October 2026 in Canadian Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and Forge FC?

In the last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 2, Forge FC won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC?

Atlético Ottawa score 1.54 goals per game on average and Forge FC 1.77. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 46% of Forge FC's.

What form are Atlético Ottawa and Forge FC in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Forge FC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.