Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade KicukiroData current as of 23 October 2026

Bugesera vs APR: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bugesera vs APR: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera play APR in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 27 October 2026. Venue: Stade Kicukiro.

Current form

Bugesera: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. APR: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. APR scores 4.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 1.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 0%, APR 100%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 0%, APR 100%. League level: BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 19%.

xG, shots and style

APR has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.56. Bugesera: 11.7 shots per match, APR: 13.0.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. APR: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 3.00.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 46-60 (2 goals). APR: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.63 goals per match, BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 19%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match4
BugeseraAPR
0.33Goals conceded / match2
BugeseraAPR
54%Average possession53%
BugeseraAPR
4Shots on target / match6
BugeseraAPR

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match13
BugeseraAPR
4Shots on target6
BugeseraAPR
11.4%Shot conversion30.8%
BugeseraAPR
54%Possession53%
BugeseraAPR
1.56xG for1.96
BugeseraAPR
1.66xG against2.01
BugeseraAPR

Shooting quality

Bugesera: BalancedAPR: Efficient finishing
BugeseraAPR
Accuracy (shots on target)34%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.67

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

APR is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Bugesera · 3 pts / match - APR

Bugesera
LWW
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
APR
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

APR is 201% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Bugesera · 4 goals / match - APR

Bugesera is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.33 goals / match - Bugesera · 2 goals / match - APR

Bugesera scoring profile: very strong

Bugesera scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while APR keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

APR scoring profile: strong

APR scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)4
BugeseraAPR
1Goals conceded (season)2
BugeseraAPR
1.67Average goals in match6
BugeseraAPR
4Goals scored (last 5)4
BugeseraAPR
1Goals conceded (last 5)2
BugeseraAPR

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
BugeseraAPR
67%2 goals100%
BugeseraAPR
0%3 goals100%
BugeseraAPR
0%4 goals100%
BugeseraAPR

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
BugeseraAPR
0%2 goals100%
BugeseraAPR
0%3 goals0%
BugeseraAPR
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraAPR

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time100%
BugeseraAPR
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraAPR
33%Scored in both halves100%
BugeseraAPR

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
BugeseraAPR
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BugeseraAPR
0%BTTS - last 5100%
BugeseraAPR

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
BugeseraAPR
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
BugeseraAPR
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time100%
BugeseraAPR

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
BugeseraAPR
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
BugeseraAPR
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time100%
BugeseraAPR

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
APR - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)0
BugeseraAPR
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1
BugeseraAPR
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)2
BugeseraAPR
0.67Average goals (1st half)3
BugeseraAPR
67%Clean sheet before half-time0%
BugeseraAPR
67%No goal before half-time0%
BugeseraAPR

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)3
BugeseraAPR
1Goals scored (2nd half)3
BugeseraAPR
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
BugeseraAPR
1Average goals (2nd half)3
BugeseraAPR
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
BugeseraAPR
33%No goal after half-time0%
BugeseraAPR

Bugesera - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

APR - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
0
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-2.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.332.33
Goals scored / match0.31.0
Goals conceded / match0.30.0
Average goals in match0.71.0
1 goal67%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
APR - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.003.00
Goals scored / match1.03.0
Goals conceded / match2.00.0
Average goals in match3.03.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%100%
3 goals100%100%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 100% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

APR
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
235%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

APR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+2.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
556%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
220%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaAPR
Average goals in match• 1.671.63▲ 6.00
Both teams scored▼ 0%22%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%19%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▲ 67%48%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%53%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 67%56%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.63
Average goals per match
22%
Both teams scored
19%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
48%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.72
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
53%
1 goal
16%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bugesera 0 - 1 - 1 APR. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Bugesera and APR play?

Bugesera face APR on 27 October 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Kicukiro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bugesera and APR?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 0, APR won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs APR?

Bugesera score 1.33 goals per game on average and APR 4.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 19% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Bugesera's matches and 100% of APR's.

What form are Bugesera and APR in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and APR 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs APR?

The statistical background for Bugesera vs APR — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.