Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio TamaulipasData current as of 21 October 2026

CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CDS Tampico Madero play CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Tamaulipas.

Current form

CDS Tampico Madero: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. CA La Paz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.08 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 2.31 and concedes 1.31. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CDS Tampico Madero 46%, CA La Paz 69%. Over 2.5: CDS Tampico Madero 54%, CA La Paz 77%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.28. CDS Tampico Madero: 10.9 shots per match, CA La Paz: 16.5.

Match halves

CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.54. CA La Paz: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.15.

Goals by minute

CDS Tampico Madero: 0-15 (3 goals). CA La Paz: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.65)
(2.34)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1.08Goals scored / match2.31
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1.54Goals conceded / match1.31
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
55%Average possession56%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
3.38Shots on target / match5.85
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.92Shots per match16.54
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
3.38Shots on target5.85
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
9.9%Shot conversion14%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
55%Possession56%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1.28xG for1.86
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1.6xG against1.49
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

Shooting quality

CDS Tampico Madero: BalancedCA La Paz: Dominant
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CA La Paz is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 2 pts / match - CA La Paz

CDS Tampico Madero
DLLDW
Season result split
31% W23% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
CA La Paz
WWLWD
Season result split
54% W23% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-3
1.85 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.32Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 114% better for: goals scored per match.

1.08 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 2.31 goals / match - CA La Paz

CA La Paz is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.54 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.31 goals / match - CA La Paz

CDS Tampico Madero scoring profile: strong

CDS Tampico Madero scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

14Goals scored (season)30
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
20Goals conceded (season)17
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
2.62Average goals in match3.62
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
4Goals scored (last 5)13
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal92%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
31%2 goals77%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
15%3 goals38%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
8%4 goals15%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal77%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
38%2 goals38%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
31%3 goals8%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
8%4 goals8%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
CDS Tampico Madero - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 13 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time31%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
23%Scored in both halves46%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
60%BTTS - last 5100%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time62%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.69 pts / match - CA La Paz

CDS Tampico Madero - half-time state
23% leading54% draw23% trailing
CA La Paz - half-time state
46% leading31% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.69
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
0.54Goals scored (1st half)1.15
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1Average goals (1st half)1.77
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
69%Clean sheet before half-time62%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
69%No goal before half-time23%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per match (2nd half)1.85
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)1.15
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.85
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
38%Clean sheet after half-time54%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
54%No goal after half-time38%
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results

15% W38% D46% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CA La Paz - second-half results

54% W23% D23% L
22
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CDS Tampico Madero - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.21.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CDS Tampico Madero
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.12
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CDS Tampico Madero

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
182%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CDS Tampico MaderoLigaCA La Paz
Average goals in match▼ 2.623.26▲ 3.62
Both teams scored▼ 46%61%▲ 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 54%63%▲ 77%
Clean sheets• 23%22%• 23%
Goal before half-time▼ 54%76%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%82%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
34%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): CDS Tampico Madero 3 - 1 - 0 CA La Paz. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do CDS Tampico Madero and CA La Paz play?

CDS Tampico Madero face CA La Paz on 25 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tamaulipas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CDS Tampico Madero and CA La Paz?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches CDS Tampico Madero won 3, CA La Paz won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

CDS Tampico Madero score 1.08 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 2.31. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 46% of CDS Tampico Madero's matches and 69% of CA La Paz's.

What form are CDS Tampico Madero and CA La Paz in?

Over the last 5 games CDS Tampico Madero have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

The statistical background for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.