Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin: match statistics

Dinamo Zagreb are in excellent form, having won five consecutive matches while scoring 16 goals and conceding just 3. At home, the hosts have won every fixture, averaging 3 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in each one, with a very solid xG against of 0.77. Varaždin also have a perfect away record and score as many as 4 goals per match on the road, but they allow opponents an average of 1 goal and 1.55 xG. Dinamo create higher-quality chances at home (xG 2.86 compared with Varaždin’s 2.44 away), control possession more frequently (65% to 43%) and register more shots on target—10 compared with 8 per game. The visitors are efficient enough to pose a genuine threat, but Dinamo’s superiority in defensive organisation and the quality of chances created points to a home win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by Varaždin’s highly effective attack: the visitors score an average of 4.0 goals per game this season, register 8.0 shots on target per match, and have not yet recorded a game without scoring. Dinamo have averaged 3.2 goals across their last five matches, with an xG of 2.50, while Varaždin conceded 1.2 goals and allowed opponents an xG of 1.55 during this period. The visitors have landed BTTS in 100% of their league matches this season, and both teams are showing strong attacking form, scoring 16 and 11 goals respectively in their last five fixtures. The main risk to the scenario is Dinamo’s solid defence, with the team conceding an average of just 0.6 goals in their last five matches and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their games this season. Nevertheless, Varaždin’s creative potential, measured at 2.44 xG and 24.0 shots per match, gives the visitors a sufficiently strong foundation to score.

Dinamo Zagreb are in excellent form: they have averaged 3.2 goals scored across their last five matches, with an xG of 2.50, while Varaždin have conceded 1.2 goals per game over the same period. The visitors also create plenty of chances, as shown by their season averages of 24.0 shots, 8.0 shots on target and an xG of 2.44, although Dinamo’s defence has restricted opponents to an average of 0.6 goals in their last five outings. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of both teams’ matches so far, while the Croatian league averages 3.43 goals per game. The 3.20-goal projection provides a clear edge for Over 1.5, whereas the 2.5 and 3.5 lines are more vulnerable to a scenario in which the visitors are less clinical.

Dinamo Zagreb have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Varaždin have scored 2.2 goals and allowed 1.2 over the same period. The hosts were leading at the break in four of their last five matches, whereas Varaždin achieved this in only two of their five appearances. After the interval, Dinamo average 1.8 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded per match, clearly outperforming the visitors’ figures of 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Although Varaždin create plenty of chances, with an average xG of 2.44 and eight shots on target, Dinamo’s stronger current defensive form and their advantage in both halves point to an HT/FT scenario of Dinamo leading at half-time and securing victory at the final whistle (1/1).