Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dungannon Swifts played Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stangmore Park. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Dungannon Swifts: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dungannon Swifts scores 1.00 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 22%, Carrick Rangers 40%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 22%, Carrick Rangers 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.40. Dungannon Swifts: 10.8 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 11.7.
Match halves
Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Dungannon Swifts: 61-75 (4 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers have a slight edge: they have won 40% of their away matches, while Dungannon Swifts have won 25% of their home games. The visitors average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away from home, compared with 1.0 scored and 1.25 conceded by the hosts on home soil. However, Dungannon create higher-quality chances, posting a home xG of 1.42 against the visitors’ away xG of 1.18, so the gap in goals scored may be difficult to sustain. Both teams have won just one of their last five matches, with Carrick conceding as many as 11 goals in that spell, compared with 7 for Dungannon. The visitors’ finishing and stronger away record support the “2” pick, although their recent defensive struggles limit confidence in this prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches, below the league average of 48%, which slightly favors BTTS - No. Dungannon have averaged just 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Carrick have failed to score in 40% of their games, so there is a genuine risk that at least one side will draw a blank. However, this is not a strong signal: the hosts average 1.69 xG, and the visitors have conceded 2.2 goals per game over their last 5 matches, giving Dungannon a chance to score. Carrick could also find the net against hosts who have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game this season, but the overall BTTS frequency and the risk of one side failing to score give a slight edge to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 80% of matches involving the two teams, providing the strongest signal in favor of Over 1.5 goals. Dungannon average 1.6 goals at home, while Carrick score 1.4 away, although the hosts’ tally has dropped to 0.6 goals per match over their last five games. Dungannon’s average xG of 1.69 and 5.4 shots on target per match strengthen their case, while Carrick have conceded an average of 2.2 goals across their last five outings. On the other hand, the hosts have maintained a moderate scoring pace in their last five matches, with Over 2.5 goals landing in only 20% of them, making the higher line a less reliable pick. The projected total of 2.67 goals supports Over 1.5, but does not offer equally strong backing for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dungannon were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while season-long figures show that both teams were level at the break in 40% of their games, pointing to a tight opening. After the break, Carrick have recently averaged 0.8 goals per match, compared with just 0.2 for the hosts, giving the visitors a better chance of turning such a draw in their favour. Carrick have also averaged 1.6 goals across their last five matches, against Dungannon’s 0.6, and recorded 1.4 points per game in the season data, compared with the hosts’ 1.2. However, the visitors’ advantage is not decisive: they have conceded 2.2 goals per match recently, while Dungannon’s xG stands at 1.69 against Carrick’s 1.18. A draw at half-time followed by a Carrick win is therefore the most likely single HT/FT scenario, although the risk of a different outcome remains significant.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dungannon Swifts | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.5 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.5 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dungannon Swifts is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.3 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dungannon Swifts
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dungannon Swifts | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Dungannon Swifts 1 - 1 - 2 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 2:4 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 1, Carrick Rangers won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
Dungannon Swifts score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.50. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 40% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
The statistical background for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.