FS Jelgava vs Super Nova: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FS Jelgava played Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Zemgales Olimpiskā centra. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
FS Jelgava: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Super Nova: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
FS Jelgava scores 1.14 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.04 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FS Jelgava 46%, Super Nova 62%. Over 2.5: FS Jelgava 43%, Super Nova 54%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
FS Jelgava has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.18. FS Jelgava: 11.3 shots per match, Super Nova: 9.1.
Match halves
FS Jelgava: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.57. Super Nova: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
FS Jelgava: 61-75 (7 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 4-3-0. Average goals 2.14, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova has a clearly stronger away-match profile: they win 46% of their matches, while Jelgava win only 29% of their home games and lose as many as 57%. The visitors concede an average of 1.08 goals per away match, compared with 1.64 for the hosts, and also keep a clean sheet in 31% of their appearances, versus just 14% for Jelgava. Jelgava score only 0.93 goals at home and fail to find the net in 50% of their matches, whereas Super Nova encounter this problem in 31% of their away games. Neither team’s recent form is particularly convincing, but the visitors have conceded just 4 goals in their last five league matches, while Jelgava have allowed 8. The hosts create slightly more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.33 compared with 1.20 for their opponents, but their poor finishing and defensive frailties point to a narrow Super Nova victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
FS Jelgava have recorded BTTS in 77% of their league matches, well above Super Nova’s 46% and the league average of 55%. The hosts concede an average of 1.85 goals per match, while their xG against stands at 1.89, strengthening Super Nova’s chances of finding the net. Jelgava score an average of 1.08 goals, but Super Nova allow opponents an xG of 1.60, so the hosts should create enough chances to respond. However, BTTS has occurred in only 60% of Jelgava’s last five matches and just 40% of Super Nova’s, while the visitors have scored only 0.8 goals per match. The BTTS - Yes pick is therefore only moderately strong, but Jelgava’s weak defence and both teams’ high current xG figures provide a slight edge in favour of a goal from each side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low potential for a very high-scoring game: Super Nova have not played a single match above 3.5 goals this season, while Jelgava have exceeded this line in only 23% of their matches. The visitors score an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared with 1.08 for the hosts, meaning neither team consistently produces a high-scoring attack. At the same time, Jelgava concede an average of 1.85 goals, while their average xG against stands at 1.89, which raises the projection for the visitors, but more towards approximately 1.37 goals than an open game featuring four goals. In their last five matches, Super Nova have scored only 4 goals and conceded 4, with just 20% of their matches going Over 2.5 goals. The projected total of 2.55 goals leaves only a narrow margin to the 3.5 line, so Under 3.5 has a clear advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Jelgava were level after 45 minutes in 46% of their matches, compared with 54% for Super Nova. In their last five matches, the hosts were trailing at the break in as many as 80% of cases, scoring an average of just 0.4 goals and conceding 1.4 in the first half, which reduces the credibility of a scenario in which they take the lead. After the interval, the advantage should shift towards Super Nova: they score an average of 0.54 goals and concede 0.46, while Jelgava concede 0.92 goals. Over the course of the season, the visitors win 46% of their matches compared with Jelgava’s 15%, and their defence allows 1.08 goals conceded per game, compared with 1.85 for the hosts. The X/2 scenario is also supported by Super Nova’s greater effectiveness in second halves, where they have collected 19 points compared with Jelgava’s 13.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FS Jelgava is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FS Jelgava is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.04 goals / match - Super Nova
Super Nova is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.46 goals / match - Super Nova
FS Jelgava scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Super Nova scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1.08 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 3.00 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): FS Jelgava 4 - 3 - 0 Super Nova. Average goals 2.14, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 0:1 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Super Nova?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 4, Super Nova won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
FS Jelgava score 1.14 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.04. The Virsliga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 46% of FS Jelgava's matches and 62% of Super Nova's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Super Nova 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.