Finland - VeikkausliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 04 November 2026

Gnistan vs VPS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gnistan vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gnistan play VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 8 November 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena.

Current form

Gnistan: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. VPS: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gnistan scores 1.52 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. VPS scores 1.00 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gnistan 58%, VPS 39%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 45%, VPS 35%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Gnistan has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. Gnistan: 13.4 shots per match, VPS: 11.5.

Match halves

Gnistan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.90. VPS: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Gnistan: 76-90+ (11 goals). VPS: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.04)
(3.74)
(3.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.52Goals scored / match1
GnistanVPS
1.48Goals conceded / match1.23
GnistanVPS
42%Average possession48%
GnistanVPS
4.48Shots on target / match3.97
GnistanVPS

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.39Shots per match11.48
GnistanVPS
4.48Shots on target3.97
GnistanVPS
11.3%Shot conversion8.7%
GnistanVPS
42%Possession48%
GnistanVPS
1.5xG for1.39
GnistanVPS
1.62xG against1.36
GnistanVPS

Shooting quality

Gnistan: BalancedVPS: Balanced
GnistanVPS
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

VPS is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Gnistan · 0.8 pts / match - VPS

Gnistan
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-10
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 at home
0-4-1
DDDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
VPS
WLLDL
Season result split
35% W23% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-7-13
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gnistan is 52% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Gnistan · 1 goals / match - VPS

VPS is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.23 goals / match - VPS

Gnistan scoring profile: very strong

Gnistan scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).

VPS scoring profile: strong

VPS scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).

47Goals scored (season)31
GnistanVPS
46Goals conceded (season)38
GnistanVPS
3Average goals in match2.23
GnistanVPS
7Goals scored (last 5)1
GnistanVPS
14Goals conceded (last 5)7
GnistanVPS

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal58%
GnistanVPS
42%2 goals19%
GnistanVPS
26%3 goals13%
GnistanVPS
6%4 goals6%
GnistanVPS

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal71%
GnistanVPS
35%2 goals26%
GnistanVPS
16%3 goals13%
GnistanVPS
13%4 goals6%
GnistanVPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time13%
GnistanVPS
10%BTTS in both halves0%
GnistanVPS
29%Scored in both halves10%
GnistanVPS

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
GnistanVPS
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
GnistanVPS
60%BTTS - last 50%
GnistanVPS

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
GnistanVPS
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
GnistanVPS
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
GnistanVPS

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
GnistanVPS
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
GnistanVPS
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
GnistanVPS

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

VPS is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.29 pts / match - VPS

Gnistan - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
VPS - half-time state
32% leading32% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1.29
GnistanVPS
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.58
GnistanVPS
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.77
GnistanVPS
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.35
GnistanVPS
48%Clean sheet before half-time52%
GnistanVPS
52%No goal before half-time61%
GnistanVPS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.16
GnistanVPS
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
GnistanVPS
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
GnistanVPS
1.71Average goals (2nd half)0.87
GnistanVPS
48%Clean sheet after half-time65%
GnistanVPS
45%No goal after half-time71%
GnistanVPS

Gnistan - second-half results

45% W23% D32% L
37
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

VPS - second-half results

23% W48% D29% L
40
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gnistan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.6
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
VPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.20.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
8
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
5
10
31-45
9
9
46-60
8
4
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

VPS
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
3
7
16-30
8
11
31-45
3
3
46-60
6
8
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

VPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

GnistanLigaVPS
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.57▼ 2.23
Both teams scored▲ 58%48%▼ 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 45%44%▼ 35%
Clean sheets▼ 19%30%• 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 74%72%▲ 74%
Goal after half-time▲ 84%74%▼ 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Gnistan 0 - 4 - 1 VPS. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.

VPS
1 : 0
Gnistan
Gnistan
1 : 1
VPS
VPS
1 : 1
Gnistan
IF Gnistan
0 : 0
Vaasan Palloseura
Vaasan Palloseura
0 : 0
IF Gnistan

FAQ

When do Gnistan and VPS play?

Gnistan face VPS on 8 November 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Mustapekka Areena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and VPS?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, VPS won 1 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs VPS?

Gnistan score 1.52 goals per game on average and VPS 1.00. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gnistan's matches and 39% of VPS's.

What form are Gnistan and VPS in?

Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and VPS 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs VPS?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.