Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: match statistics
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Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenock Morton play Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Cappielow Park.
Current form
Greenock Morton: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ayr United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenock Morton scores 0.82 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Ayr United scores 0.91 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenock Morton 55%, Ayr United 45%. Over 2.5: Greenock Morton 45%, Ayr United 18%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 0.98 vs 0.93. Greenock Morton: 6.5 shots per match, Ayr United: 7.1.
Match halves
Greenock Morton: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45. Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
Greenock Morton: 46-60 (4 goals). Ayr United: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 80%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenock Morton | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ayr United is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 1.4 pts / match - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 0.91 goals / match - Ayr United
Ayr United is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.09 goals / match - Ayr United
Greenock Morton scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Ayr United scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
Over / Under - Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 1.27 pts / match - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenock Morton
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Greenock Morton | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.45 | 2.02 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 35% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 61% | ▼ 45% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Greenock Morton 1 - 3 - 1 Ayr United. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
When do Greenock Morton and Ayr United play?
Greenock Morton face Ayr United on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Cappielow Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Ayr United?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock Morton won 1, Ayr United won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
Greenock Morton score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ayr United 0.91. The Championship average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Greenock Morton's matches and 45% of Ayr United's.
What form are Greenock Morton and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Greenock Morton have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ayr United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
The statistical background for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.