Croatia - Prva HNLStadion Aldo DrosinaData current as of 18 September 2026

Istra 1961 vs Gorica: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Istra 1961 vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Istra 1961 play Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Aldo Drosina.

Current form

Istra 1961: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gorica: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Istra 1961 scores 2.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Gorica scores 0.57 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Istra 1961 71%, Gorica 43%. Over 2.5: Istra 1961 86%, Gorica 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Istra 1961 has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.13. Istra 1961: 12.4 shots per match, Gorica: 9.4.

Match halves

Istra 1961: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Gorica: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Istra 1961: 16-30 (4 goals). Gorica: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.93)
(3.50)
(3.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match0.57
Istra 1961Gorica
1.71Goals conceded / match1.71
Istra 1961Gorica
46%Average possession43%
Istra 1961Gorica
4.14Shots on target / match2.71
Istra 1961Gorica

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.43Shots per match9.43
Istra 1961Gorica
4.14Shots on target2.71
Istra 1961Gorica
16.1%Shot conversion6.1%
Istra 1961Gorica
46%Possession43%
Istra 1961Gorica
1.46xG for1.13
Istra 1961Gorica
1.75xG against1.89
Istra 1961Gorica

Shooting quality

Istra 1961: Counter-attackingGorica: Balanced
Istra 1961Gorica
Accuracy (shots on target)33%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Istra 1961 is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 0.4 pts / match - Gorica

Istra 1961
WLDDW
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Gorica
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W29% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-5
0.29 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Istra 1961 is 251% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 0.57 goals / match - Gorica

Istra 1961 scoring profile: very strong

Istra 1961 scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Gorica scoring profile: mixed

Gorica scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

14Goals scored (season)4
Istra 1961Gorica
12Goals conceded (season)12
Istra 1961Gorica
3.71Average goals in match2.29
Istra 1961Gorica
10Goals scored (last 5)3
Istra 1961Gorica
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Istra 1961Gorica

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal43%
Istra 1961Gorica
86%2 goals14%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%3 goals0%
Istra 1961Gorica
0%4 goals0%
Istra 1961Gorica

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%
Istra 1961Gorica
71%2 goals71%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%3 goals14%
Istra 1961Gorica
0%4 goals0%
Istra 1961Gorica

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time0%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%BTTS in both halves0%
Istra 1961Gorica
57%Scored in both halves0%
Istra 1961Gorica

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Istra 1961Gorica
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Istra 1961Gorica
60%BTTS - last 540%
Istra 1961Gorica

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Istra 1961Gorica
86%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Istra 1961Gorica

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time43%
Istra 1961Gorica
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Istra 1961Gorica

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Istra 1961 is 441% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 0.29 pts / match - Gorica

Istra 1961 - half-time state
43% leading29% draw29% trailing
Gorica - half-time state
0% leading29% draw71% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per match (1st half)0.29
Istra 1961Gorica
1.14Goals scored (1st half)0
Istra 1961Gorica
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)1.14
Istra 1961Gorica
2Average goals (1st half)1.14
Istra 1961Gorica
43%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%No goal before half-time100%
Istra 1961Gorica

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1
Istra 1961Gorica
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Istra 1961Gorica
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Istra 1961Gorica
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Istra 1961Gorica
29%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Istra 1961Gorica
29%No goal after half-time57%
Istra 1961Gorica

Istra 1961 - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
11
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorica - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.29
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Istra 1961 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gorica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Istra 1961
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Istra 1961

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

Istra 1961LigaGorica
Average goals in match 3.713.24 2.29
Both teams scored 71%53% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 86%65% 43%
Clean sheets 29%26% 14%
Goal before half-time 86%76% 71%
Goal after half-time 86%79% 43%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.24
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
2.03
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+68%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+47%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Istra 1961 1 - 0 - 3 Gorica. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Istra 1961 and Gorica play?

Istra 1961 face Gorica on 19 September 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Aldo Drosina. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Gorica?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1, Gorica won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Gorica?

Istra 1961 score 2.00 goals per game on average and Gorica 0.57. The Prva HNL average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Istra 1961's matches and 43% of Gorica's.

What form are Istra 1961 and Gorica in?

Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gorica 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Gorica?

The statistical background for Istra 1961 vs Gorica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.