Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipInver ParkData current as of 15 October 2026

Larne vs Coleraine: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Larne vs Coleraine: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Larne play Coleraine in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Inver Park.

Current form

Larne: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Coleraine: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Larne scores 2.14 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Coleraine scores 2.09 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larne 29%, Coleraine 55%. Over 2.5: Larne 43%, Coleraine 64%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.74. Larne: 13.3 shots per match, Coleraine: 14.0.

Match halves

Larne: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.14. Coleraine: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Larne: 0-15 (3 goals). Coleraine: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-2. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.30)
(3.26)
(2.74)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.14Goals scored / match2.09
LarneColeraine
0.43Goals conceded / match0.91
LarneColeraine
53%Average possession61%
LarneColeraine
6.14Shots on target / match5.73
LarneColeraine

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.29Shots per match14
LarneColeraine
6.14Shots on target5.73
LarneColeraine
16.1%Shot conversion14.9%
LarneColeraine
53%Possession61%
LarneColeraine
1.8xG for1.74
LarneColeraine
0.81xG against0.89
LarneColeraine

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingColeraine: Dominant
LarneColeraine
Accuracy (shots on target)46%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 25% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Larne · 2.4 pts / match - Coleraine

Larne
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
86% W14% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-0
2.71 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Coleraine
WWLWW
Season result split
82% W9% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-1
2.55 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 0.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 112% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.43 goals / match - Larne · 0.91 goals / match - Coleraine

Larne scoring profile: strong

Larne scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Coleraine keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).

Coleraine scoring profile: mixed

Coleraine scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).

15Goals scored (season)23
LarneColeraine
3Goals conceded (season)10
LarneColeraine
2.57Average goals in match3
LarneColeraine
13Goals scored (last 5)8
LarneColeraine
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
LarneColeraine

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal91%
LarneColeraine
71%2 goals64%
LarneColeraine
29%3 goals45%
LarneColeraine
14%4 goals9%
LarneColeraine

How often they concede at least...

29%1 goal55%
LarneColeraine
14%2 goals27%
LarneColeraine
0%3 goals9%
LarneColeraine
0%4 goals0%
LarneColeraine

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time9%
LarneColeraine
0%BTTS in both halves9%
LarneColeraine
43%Scored in both halves45%
LarneColeraine

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
LarneColeraine
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
LarneColeraine
20%BTTS - last 560%
LarneColeraine

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
LarneColeraine
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
LarneColeraine
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
LarneColeraine

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
LarneColeraine
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
LarneColeraine
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
LarneColeraine

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne - half-time state
57% leading43% draw0% trailing
Coleraine - half-time state
64% leading27% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.14Points per match (1st half)2.18
LarneColeraine
1Goals scored (1st half)1.09
LarneColeraine
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
LarneColeraine
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.36
LarneColeraine
86%Clean sheet before half-time82%
LarneColeraine
43%No goal before half-time36%
LarneColeraine

After half-time (2nd half)

2.43Points per match (2nd half)1.64
LarneColeraine
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)1
LarneColeraine
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
LarneColeraine
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.64
LarneColeraine
86%Clean sheet after half-time45%
LarneColeraine
29%No goal after half-time27%
LarneColeraine

Larne - second-half results

71% W29% D0% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Coleraine - second-half results

36% W55% D9% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.60
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Coleraine - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Coleraine
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.99
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Coleraine

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaColeraine
Average goals in match▼ 2.572.71▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 29%47%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%52%▲ 64%
Clean sheets▲ 71%28%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%69%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%84%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Larne 2 - 1 - 2 Coleraine. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.

FAQ

When do Larne and Coleraine play?

Larne face Coleraine on 16 October 2026 in NIFL Premiership at Inver Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Coleraine?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Coleraine won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Coleraine?

Larne score 2.14 goals per game on average and Coleraine 2.09. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Larne's matches and 55% of Coleraine's.

What form are Larne and Coleraine in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Coleraine 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Coleraine?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Larne vs Coleraine: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.