Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: match statistics

Levski Sofia are unbeaten after 6 league matches, with a perfect winning record and a goal difference of 18:3, while CSKA 1948 have recorded 5 wins, a draw, and a defeat. At home, the hosts have won every match, averaging 3.25 goals scored and conceding just 0.25 goals per game. Levski’s superiority is also evident in the quality of chances: their average xG stands at 2.31 compared with 1.53 for the visitors, while their xG against is just 0.69, compared with CSKA 1948’s 1.46 away from home. The hosts average 16 shots, including 8.75 on target, compared with their opponents’ 11 shots and 5.67 on target, while also enjoying 76% possession. CSKA 1948 concede an average of 1.33 goals away from home, have kept no clean sheets, and have failed to score in 33% of such matches, which significantly strengthens the case for backing the league leaders to win.

The signal for goals from both sides is supported by high seasonal BTTS figures: Levski stands at 75%, while CSKA 1948 is at 67%, clearly above the league average of 55%. The hosts score an average of 2.50 goals at home and have not recorded a match without scoring, while the visitors create more chances, registering an xG of 1.53 and 5.67 shots on target per match. In their last five matches, both teams scored 2.0 goals per game and conceded 1.0, indicating current attacking potential on both sides. The risk to the pick is Levski’s strong seasonal defense, conceding just 0.75 goals per match, as well as the hosts’ BTTS rate of only 20% in their last five appearances, but CSKA 1948’s superior attacking quality slightly favors a goal for the visitors. Therefore, the lean is toward BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal), although BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score—it does not automatically mean a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Levski Sofia score an average of 2.50 goals at home, while CSKA 1948 Sofia average 1.67 goals away, providing a solid foundation for at least two goals. In their last five matches, both teams scored 2.0 goals per game and conceded 1.0, with 2.5 goals being exceeded in 60% of their matches. Their creative potential is also well balanced: average xG stands at 1.22 for the hosts and 1.53 for the visitors, while their defences allow 1.34 and 1.46 xG respectively. Over 1.5 goals landed in all of Levski’s home matches and in 67% of CSKA 1948’s away games, making this line a clearer value pick than the more demanding Over 2.5.

Levski Sofia have a clear home advantage in terms of results: they have won 100% of their matches, scoring an average of 2.50 goals and conceding just 0.75, while CSKA 1948 win only 33% of their away fixtures. The hosts led at the break in 2 of their 4 home appearances, whereas the visitors have yet to take the lead and have not scored in the first half. Levski average 1.00 goal scored and 0.50 conceded before half-time, while CSKA 1948 have recorded 0.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded during this period. After the interval, the hosts remain highly solid, scoring an average of 1.50 goals and conceding 0.25, which reinforces the scenario of them maintaining or extending their lead. Although the visitors produce more shots on target per match on average, 5.67 compared with 3.75, Levski have a clear advantage in conversion efficiency, 32% to 15%. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is Levski Sofia leading at the break and securing the win at full-time.