Liepāja vs Auda: match statistics
Liepāja vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liepāja played Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Stadions Daugava. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Liepāja: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Auda: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liepāja scores 1.32 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Auda scores 1.58 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liepāja 55%, Auda 52%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 58%, Auda 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Auda has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.55. Liepāja: 13.2 shots per match, Auda: 14.1.
Match halves
Liepāja: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.71. Auda: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Liepāja: 76-90+ (11 goals). Auda: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-4. Average goals 2.29, BTTS 43%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Auda have a slight edge: they sit 3rd in the table and have won 18 of 31 matches, while fourth-placed Liepāja have recorded 12 victories. The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 games, with 2 wins and 3 draws; during the same period, the hosts have won once, drawn 3 times and lost once. Liepāja’s home scoring record works in their favour, averaging 1.86 goals per match compared with Auda’s 1.43 away from home, while both teams concede an average of 1 goal in these conditions. However, the quality of chances created and defensive performance point to the visitors: their away xG is 1.60, compared with 1.41 for the hosts at home, while their respective xG conceded figures are 0.99 and 1.52. On balance, Auda are slight favourites, although 29% of their away matches have ended in a draw, so a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 47% of Liepāja’s matches and 57% of Auda’s, giving a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score. Both sides create chances regularly: average xG stands at 1.75 for the hosts and 1.60 for the visitors, while 12% and 7% of their matches, respectively, ended without them scoring. However, solid defending argues for caution: Liepāja kept a clean sheet in 41% of matches, compared with 43% for Auda. In their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 1.0 goals, while their BTTS rates were 40% and 60%. Therefore, BTTS - Yes has a slight edge, but the high clean-sheet rates mean it cannot be considered a clear favorite.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 82% of Liepāja’s matches and 79% of Auda’s. Although the teams average 1.71 and 1.43 goals scored per game this season, they concede relatively few—0.94 and 1.00 per match, respectively. Their last five matches produced averages of 2.0 and 2.4 total goals, with Over 2.5 goals landing in 40% of each team’s games. The forecast of 2.45 total goals therefore supports Under 3.5, which offers a clearer edge than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: Liepāja were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while both teams averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time over this period. Across the season, Auda went into half-time level in 50% of their away matches, further supporting this scenario. After the break, the stronger signal comes from the visitors: they won the second half 3 times in their last 5 matches, compared with just once for Liepāja, and averaged 1.0 goals in the second half against the hosts’ 0.6. Auda have lost none of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game in that run, compared with Liepāja’s 1.2. Therefore, my HT/FT pick is a draw at half-time and an Auda win at full-time, although the fact that both teams drew 60% of their last 5 matches makes a full-time draw a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liepāja | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Auda is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.8 pts / match - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.58 goals / match - Auda
Auda is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Liepāja · 0.97 goals / match - Auda
Liepāja scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
Auda scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liepāja
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.61 pts / match - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liepāja
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Liepāja | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Liepāja 2 - 1 - 4 Auda. Average goals 2.29, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liepāja vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished Liepāja 2:3 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and Auda?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 2, Auda won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs Auda?
Liepāja score 1.32 goals per game on average and Auda 1.58. The Virsliga average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Liepāja's matches and 52% of Auda's.
What form are Liepāja and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Auda 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs Auda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liepāja vs Auda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.