Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Linfield played Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Linfield: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Linfield scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Linfield 25%, Carrick Rangers 25%. Over 2.5: Linfield 50%, Carrick Rangers 50%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.66. Linfield: 12.8 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 14.3.
Match halves
Linfield: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Linfield: 16-30 (1 goals). Carrick Rangers: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers sit 2nd, while Linfield are fifth, with the visitors scoring 7 goals and conceding just 3 in their four matches this season. Away from home, Carrick Rangers have won every game so far, averaging 3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match, for a positive goal difference of +5. The quality of chances created also favours the visitors: their average xG stands at 1.98 compared with Linfield’s 1.61, while they allow chances worth just 0.67 xG, compared with 1.03 for the hosts. Linfield have a 67% home win rate, but average only 1 goal per match, have failed to score in 33% of their home games and concede 1.33 goals per game. Home advantage could help the hosts remain competitive during certain phases of the match, but Carrick Rangers’ away conversion rate of 19%, compared with Linfield’s 8%, points to a greater likelihood of an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Linfield score an average of just 0.5 goals in their home data and fail to score in 50% of such matches. The hosts have not recorded a single BTTS game at home, while Carrick Rangers have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away fixtures and concede only 0.5 goals per match on the road. Recent form has been slightly more goal-oriented, with both teams recording BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, and Linfield scoring 1.4 goals in those games, but this is not a majority trend. Carrick Rangers have a high average away xG of 1.98, against 0.67 xG conceded, which increases the likelihood of them scoring; however, the more probable scenario remains one in which at least Linfield fail to find the net. Additionally, the league records BTTS in only 33% of matches, further supporting the BTTS - No selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Carrick Rangers average 3.0 goals away from home, while Linfield concede 1.0 goal per home match. Both sides’ attacking potential also points towards goals: Linfield’s average xG is 1.62, compared with 1.98 for Carrick Rangers. Across their last five matches, the teams scored 1.4 and 1.6 goals per game respectively, with each side recording at least three total goals in 60% of their matches. Linfield kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home fixtures, but the visitors have not failed to score in a single match and average 4.5 shots on target. The 2.5 line is more finely balanced due to Linfield’s defensive data from the start of the season, so Over 1.5 offers the safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Carrick Rangers have a clearly superior seasonal record: they have won 100% of their matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded, while Linfield average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The visitors led at the break in both matches played so far, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time, whereas Linfield drew at half-time in 100% of their two home matches and failed to score a single first-half goal. Carrick Rangers’ superiority is also evident in their attacking quality: their average xG stands at 1.98 compared with the hosts’ 1.62, while their shot conversion rate is 19%, against just 4% for Linfield. Caution is warranted based on the last five matches, in which both teams won 60% of the time, while Carrick drew at half-time in 60% of cases. The most likely scenario is therefore a balanced start, followed by the more clinical visitors capitalising on their attacking advantage to win by the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Linfield | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Linfield · 1.75 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Linfield · 0.75 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Linfield scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Linfield
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Linfield · 2 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Linfield
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Linfield | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.50 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 36% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Linfield 1 - 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Linfield 1:0 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Linfield and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Linfield won 1, Carrick Rangers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
Linfield score 1.25 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.75. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Linfield's matches and 25% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Linfield and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Linfield have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.