Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of 02 September 2026

Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Linfield play Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Linfield: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

Linfield scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Linfield 25%, Carrick Rangers 25%. Over 2.5: Linfield 50%, Carrick Rangers 50%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.66. Linfield: 12.8 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 14.3.

Match halves

Linfield: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Linfield: 16-30 (1 goals). Carrick Rangers: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.61)
(3.85)
(4.75)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.25Goals scored / match1.75
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1Goals conceded / match0.75
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
51%Average possession46%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
5.25Shots on target / match4
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.75Shots per match14.25
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
5.25Shots on target4
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
9.8%Shot conversion12.3%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
51%Possession46%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.66xG for1.74
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.94xG against0.92
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Linfield: BalancedCarrick Rangers: Counter-attacking
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)41%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Linfield
LWWW
Season result split
75% W0% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 50%
Carrick Rangers
WWLW
Season result split
75% W0% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrick Rangers is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Linfield · 1.75 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Carrick Rangers is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Linfield · 0.75 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield scoring profile: strong

Linfield scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

5Goals scored (season)7
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4Goals conceded (season)3
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
2.25Average goals in match2.5
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
5Goals scored (last 5)7
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
50%2 goals50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%3 goals25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
25%2 goals25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
25%3 goals0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
50%Scored in both halves25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
25%BTTS - last 525%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrick Rangers is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / match - Linfield · 2 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per match (1st half)2
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.75
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.75Average goals (1st half)0.75
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
75%Clean sheet before half-time100%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
50%No goal before half-time50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.5
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.75
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
25%No goal after half-time50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Linfield - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Linfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.751.75
Goals scored / match0.50.8
Goals conceded / match0.30.8
Average goals in match0.81.5
1 goal75%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal50%25%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 50% leading - 25% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.50
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal50%100%
2 goals25%50%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Linfield
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Linfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.82
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LinfieldLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals in match 2.252.48 2.50
Both teams scored 25%33% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 50%
Clean sheets 50%36% 50%
Goal before half-time 75%67% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
0.86
Home goals / match
1.62
Away goals / match
+-47%
Home attack advantage
+-88%
Home defence advantage
+-19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Linfield 1 - 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Linfield and Carrick Rangers play?

Linfield face Carrick Rangers on 5 September 2026 in NIFL Premiership. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Linfield and Carrick Rangers?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Linfield won 1, Carrick Rangers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield score 1.25 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.75. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Linfield's matches and 25% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Linfield and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Linfield have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.