Nõmme Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju played Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.79 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.41 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 55%, Harju Jalgpallikool 52%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 48%, Harju Jalgpallikool 66%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.56. Nõmme Kalju: 15.6 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.4.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.79. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 6-0-1. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 29%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nõmme Kalju have the home advantage: they score an average of 2.13 goals per match with an xG of 1.95, while Harju score 1.29 goals away from home with an xG of 1.52. The hosts average 6.2 shots on target at home, compared with 3.71 for the visitors away, pointing to more chances for Kalju. The defensive figures also favour the hosts: they concede 1.13 goals per home match, compared with 1.79 conceded by Harju away. However, the visitors have been dangerous of late, scoring 15 goals and winning three of their last five matches, while Kalju have scored 9 goals and recorded two wins. Harju’s improved form raises the risk of an upset, but their 57% away defeat rate and failure to score in 36% of away matches support a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 47% of Nõmme Kalju matches and 57% of Harju Jalgpallikool matches, compared with a league average of 59%, providing a moderate indication that both teams could score. The hosts average 1.53 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.79, making a Nõmme Kalju goal likely. Harju average 1.29 goals and have scored 15 in their last 5 matches; over the same period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.6 goals. However, caution is warranted: Nõmme Kalju kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, while Harju failed to score in 36% of theirs. Despite this risk, the attacking output of both teams tips the forecast slightly towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 80% of Nõmme Kalju matches and 79% of Harju Jalgpallikool matches, providing a strong basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. The home side average 1.53 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.79, giving Nõmme Kalju a good opportunity to score. Harju could also get on the scoresheet: they average 1.29 goals, with an xG of 1.52. Over their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals and the visitors 3.0, although Harju may not sustain such a high-scoring pace. Therefore, with a projected total of 3.05 goals, Over 1.5 is the safest pick; Over 2.5 is less secure, despite landing in 60% of the hosts’ matches and 71% of the visitors’.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nõmme Kalju have stronger grounds for taking the lead at the break: they average 0.93 first-half goals compared with Harju’s 0.43, while the visitors were trailing at half-time in 7 of 14 matches. The hosts led after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 games, and Harju failed to score before the break in 64% of their matches this season. Their chances of maintaining the advantage are also supported by Nõmme’s average of 1.53 goals per match, compared with the 1.79 goals Harju concede, as well as the hosts’ 40% clean-sheet rate versus 7% for the visitors. However, this is not a decisive pick, as Harju have averaged 3 goals across their last five matches, including 2.2 after half-time, increasing the risk of a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.41 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Nõmme Kalju is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.59 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Nõmme Kalju scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.24 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 3.14 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 66% | • 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 22% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 88% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Nõmme Kalju 6 - 0 - 1 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 29% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 0:1 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 6, Harju Jalgpallikool won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.79 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.41. The Meistriliiga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 52% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The statistical background for Nõmme Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.