Estonia - MeistriliigaHiiu staadionData current as of 22 October 2026

Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nõmme Kalju play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion.

Current form

Nõmme Kalju: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nõmme Kalju scores 1.69 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.91 and concedes 1.42. League average: 3.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 53%, Tallinna FC Flora 58%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 50%, Tallinna FC Flora 79%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.86. Nõmme Kalju: 15.6 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 15.3.

Match halves

Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.03.

Goals by minute

Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-4. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.39)
(3.55)
(2.39)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
1.69Goals scored / match1.91
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
1.03Goals conceded / match1.42
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
53%Average possession57%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
5.41Shots on target / match5.09
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.59Shots per match15.27
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
5.41Shots on target5.09
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
10.8%Shot conversion12.5%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
53%Possession57%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
1.86xG for1.9
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
1.41xG against1.49
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

Shooting quality

Nõmme Kalju: AttackingTallinna FC Flora: Dominant
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nõmme Kalju is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Nõmme Kalju
WWLDL
Season result split
47% W19% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-6-11
1.59 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Tallinna FC Flora
WLLWL
Season result split
58% W3% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-1-13
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.69 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.91 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Nõmme Kalju is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.42 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).

54Goals scored (season)63
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
33Goals conceded (season)47
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
2.72Average goals in match3.33
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal88%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
44%2 goals58%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
22%3 goals27%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
9%4 goals9%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal70%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
25%2 goals48%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
9%3 goals21%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
0%4 goals3%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 33 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time27%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
28%Scored in both halves30%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
40%BTTS - last 560%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.72 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.39 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
47% leading31% draw22% trailing
Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
33% leading39% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.72Points per match (1st half)1.39
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
0.91Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.64
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
69%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
47%No goal before half-time45%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.76
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)1.03
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
1.34Average goals (2nd half)1.7
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
53%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora
44%No goal after half-time36%
Nõmme KaljuTallinna FC Flora

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

38% W34% D28% L
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

52% W21% D27% L
46
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme Kalju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
11
8
16-30
11
6
31-45
4
5
46-60
11
5
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
11
10
16-30
11
9
31-45
10
7
46-60
13
7
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.02
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme KaljuLigaTallinna FC Flora
Average goals in match▼ 2.723.09▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▼ 53%57%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%64%▲ 79%
Clean sheets▲ 31%23%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 72%77%▲ 79%
Goal after half-time▼ 81%88%▼ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Nõmme Kalju 3 - 0 - 4 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 57% matches.

Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 1
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju
0 : 1
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
0 : 1
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju FC
3 : 1
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
1 : 0
Nõmme Kalju FC
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 3
Nõmme Kalju FC
Nõmme Kalju FC
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora

FAQ

When do Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora play?

Nõmme Kalju face Tallinna FC Flora on 25 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Hiiu staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 3, Tallinna FC Flora won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?

Nõmme Kalju score 1.69 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.91. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 58% of Tallinna FC Flora's.

What form are Nõmme Kalju and Tallinna FC Flora in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.