Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United played BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Salaspils sporta nama stadions. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ogre United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 0.97 and concedes 2.45 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 61%, BFC Daugavpils 52%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 65%, BFC Daugavpils 39%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.20. Ogre United: 10.6 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 13.0.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.48. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 31-45+ (7 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BFC Daugavpils have the edge over the course of the season: they sit 5th and have conceded 35 goals, while 10th-placed Ogre United have shipped as many as 76. At home, the hosts concede an average of 2.00 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in just 7% of games, giving the visitors a chance to break through. BFC also have the edge in chance creation: their away xG stands at 1.51, compared with Ogre’s 1.14 at home, while they average 4.33 shots on target per match to Ogre’s 2.6. However, backing the visitors is not a sure thing: both teams have scored 4 goals in their last five matches, and BFC have not won any of them. In addition, 47% of BFC’s away matches have ended in a draw, so a share of the points remains a significant possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 38% of Ogre United matches and 67% of BFC Daugavpils matches, so the season data point in conflicting directions. The case for BTTS - No is supported by the fact that the hosts failed to score in 38% of their matches, while in their last 5 games both teams averaged just 0.8 goals per match. Ogre kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches, further increasing the likelihood that at least one side will fail to score. On the other hand, average xG of 1.62 for the hosts and 1.51 for the visitors, along with 60% BTTS in Daugavpils' last 5 matches, means this is not a clear-cut selection. Ultimately, the low scoring output of both teams in their last 5 games slightly outweighs their potential to create chances. BTTS - No means that at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily imply a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 81% of Ogre United’s home matches and 67% of BFC Daugavpils’ away matches. Both teams score an average of 1.13 goals in these conditions, while the hosts concede 0.81 and the visitors 1.47, pointing to a moderate goal total rather than a high-scoring game. Their attacking potential exceeds their actual goals scored, with average xG of 1.62 and 1.51, respectively, making the 2.5-goal line less reliable. Both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored across their last five matches, further supporting the safer 3.5-goal line, with a projected total of 2.45 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Ogre United were level at the break in 50% of their matches, compared with 60% for BFC Daugavpils. A cautious opening is also suggested by the hosts’ average of just 0.5 goals scored before half-time and the visitors’ 0.2. Over the full match, however, the hosts have the advantage: they have won 50% of their matches, compared with 13% for their opponents, and concede an average of 0.81 goals versus Daugavpils’ 1.47. The visitors concede an average of 1.07 goals after the break, giving Ogre United a chance to decide the match, although their average of 0.63 goals scored in the second half limits confidence in the forecast. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by a home win marginally leads the other scenarios, while a draw after 90 minutes remains a significant risk.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ogre United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ogre United · 0.6 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BFC Daugavpils is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.13 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.45 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.13 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ogre United
Over / Under - BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.32 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.42 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 74% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ogre United 0 - 0 - 3 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 1:2 BFC Daugavpils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ogre United won 0, BFC Daugavpils won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Ogre United score 0.97 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.13. The Virsliga average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ogre United's matches and 52% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.