Estonia - MeistriliigaPaide linnastaadionData current as of 15 October 2026

Paide vs Trans: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paide vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paide play Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion.

Current form

Paide: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Trans: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paide scores 1.61 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Trans scores 0.77 and concedes 2.19. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paide 65%, Trans 45%. Over 2.5: Paide 52%, Trans 65%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Paide has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.48. Paide: 14.6 shots per match, Trans: 12.5.

Match halves

Paide: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.94. Trans: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Paide: 76-90+ (13 goals). Trans: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-3. Average goals 1.86, BTTS 29%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.61Goals scored / match0.77
PaideTrans
1.23Goals conceded / match2.19
PaideTrans
54%Average possession45%
PaideTrans
4.77Shots on target / match3.74
PaideTrans

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.61Shots per match12.48
PaideTrans
4.77Shots on target3.74
PaideTrans
11%Shot conversion6.2%
PaideTrans
54%Possession45%
PaideTrans
1.76xG for1.48
PaideTrans
1.6xG against1.7
PaideTrans

Shooting quality

Paide: AttackingTrans: Balanced
PaideTrans
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Paide · 0.6 pts / match - Trans

Paide
LWWLW
Season result split
52% W19% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-9
1.74 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Trans
DLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
16% W16% D68% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-21
0.65 pts / match · goal difference -44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-12
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 109% better for: goals scored per match.

1.61 goals / match - Paide · 0.77 goals / match - Trans

Paide is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Paide · 2.19 goals / match - Trans

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 87% of matches (27 of 31 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 matches).

Trans scoring profile: strong

Trans scores in 52% of matches (16 of 31 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).

50Goals scored (season)24
PaideTrans
38Goals conceded (season)68
PaideTrans
2.84Average goals in match2.97
PaideTrans
8Goals scored (last 5)5
PaideTrans
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
PaideTrans

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal52%
PaideTrans
48%2 goals19%
PaideTrans
19%3 goals6%
PaideTrans
6%4 goals0%
PaideTrans

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal90%
PaideTrans
29%2 goals65%
PaideTrans
10%3 goals32%
PaideTrans
3%4 goals13%
PaideTrans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time16%
PaideTrans
6%BTTS in both halves0%
PaideTrans
42%Scored in both halves10%
PaideTrans

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
PaideTrans
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS26%
PaideTrans
60%BTTS - last 560%
PaideTrans

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
PaideTrans
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
PaideTrans
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
PaideTrans

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
PaideTrans
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
PaideTrans
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
PaideTrans

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / match - Paide · 0.84 pts / match - Trans

Paide - half-time state
32% leading52% draw16% trailing
Trans - half-time state
19% leading26% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)0.84
PaideTrans
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.48
PaideTrans
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
PaideTrans
1.23Average goals (1st half)1.55
PaideTrans
65%Clean sheet before half-time32%
PaideTrans
45%No goal before half-time68%
PaideTrans

After half-time (2nd half)

1.77Points per match (2nd half)0.68
PaideTrans
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
PaideTrans
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
PaideTrans
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.42
PaideTrans
48%Clean sheet after half-time23%
PaideTrans
26%No goal after half-time71%
PaideTrans

Paide - second-half results

52% W23% D26% L
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Trans - second-half results

16% W19% D65% L
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-26
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Trans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paide
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
2
46-60
7
8
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Trans
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
8
16-30
6
18
31-45
1
7
46-60
3
11
61-75
5
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

PaideLigaTrans
Average goals in match▼ 2.843.10▼ 2.97
Both teams scored▲ 65%57%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 52%64%• 65%
Clean sheets• 23%23%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%76%▲ 84%
Goal after half-time▲ 94%88%▲ 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Paide 3 - 1 - 3 Trans. Average goals 1.86, both teams scored in 29% matches.

Trans
1 : 1
Paide
Trans
1 : 0
Paide
Paide
1 : 0
Trans
JK Narva Trans
2 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 1
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

When do Paide and Trans play?

Paide face Trans on 18 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Paide linnastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Trans?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Paide won 3, Trans won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Trans?

Paide score 1.61 goals per game on average and Trans 0.77. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Paide's matches and 45% of Trans's.

What form are Paide and Trans in?

Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Trans 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Trans?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.